Covid infections are at record highs, but cases may have peaked

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Covid infections are at record highs, but cases may have peaked


Britain received two different images of the spread of Covid-19 across the country last week. Together, they suggest infections have reached record levels since the start of the pandemic, but also raised hopes that the current high wave of cases across the UK may have peaked.

The first study is based on a random household survey which showed that around 1.28 million people in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland were infected with Covid-19 for the week se ending October 22, the highest number of infections recorded since the pandemic. started in UK. Conducted by the Office for National Statistics, this weekly survey is considered the most reliable measure of UK infection levels.

But a second analysis – based on Department of Health and Social Affairs (DHSC) reports of new cases for the week ending October 29 – suggested there had been a 14% drop in the number of cases since. case. However, these reports are seen as a less reliable measure of the number of Covid-19 cases, leaving some uncertainty over the progress of the disease in the UK.

Professor Paul Hunter of the University of East Anglia said it was too early to say if there had been a real drop in infections, adding: “If infections really match the daily DHSC reports, then the the earliest we would see the impact in the ONS data set is Friday.

This point was supported by Professor Jim Naismith, director of the Rosalind Franklin Institute, Oxford, who said he expected the prevalence in England to peak or be close to peak, adding: “What if England has peaked, so other numbers will start to fall. I certainly hope so – 1,000 people every day end up in hospital and 1,000 die a week. “

Simon Clarke, associate professor of cell microbiology at the University of Reading, also warned the health service remains under heavy demand, saying: indisposed. Anyone in an accident on the freeway or whose routine operation has taken a turn for the worse could find themselves without access to the intensive care unit at their local hospital. “

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