cases increase as fatigue sets in – .

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cases increase as fatigue sets in – .


Oregon reported 10 deaths from COVID-19 and 1,517 new known cases on Friday, continuing a very short but worrying increase in cases over the past few days. It comes amid a forecast from Oregon Health & Science University that says more Oregonians are re-engaging in riskier behaviors that promote viral spread.

In his latest COVID-19 forecast on Thursday, Peter Graven, OHSU data specialist, says fatigue over public health security measures is setting in again. Although mask use remains stable at around 50% for unvaccinated people and 90% for vaccinated people, there are slight increases in riskier viral behaviors, such as dining in restaurants and bars and socializing in the city. the interior with people outside its home. Graven believes the small increase in new infections over the past few days is likely due to this fatigue.

While Graven’s forecast does not attempt to estimate the number of new infections in the weeks and months to come, it does predict that they will decline, as do hospitalized COVID-19 patients. But Graven predicts those declines will be slower than expected as the public acts less cautiously.

Hospitalizations stood at 537 on Friday, less than half the number at the start of September. Graven’s forecast predicts that hospitalizations will not drop below 400 until Thanksgiving.

Graven said the level of precautions many people are taking now are similar to the level in July, when Oregon just reopened and the Delta variant had yet to hit the state hard.

“Normally that would cause us to flare up, but because we have such high immunity levels all it really ends up doing is slowing the… downturn,” Graven said. This is because more people are vaccinated and more have natural immunity, he said.

“This is basically great news,” said Graven. The only caveat? If a new, more contagious or vaccine-resistant variant takes hold in Oregon, cases could rise again, he said.

Recall shots: The federal government is now recommending booster shots for certain groups of people who have received one of the three vaccines currently available in the United States.

On Friday, the Western States Scientific Safety Review Workgroup announced its support for recommendations made Thursday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for booster injections of Moderna and Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines. Pfizer-BioNTech boosters had already been approved.

People who have received two injections of Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna vaccines are now eligible for a third injection if it has been at least six months since their second injection and if they are 65 years of age or older, an adult living in a healthcare facility. long duration. , an adult with underlying health problems, or an adult who works or lives in high-risk settings. This includes teachers, prison workers and bus drivers.

Any adult who received the Johnson & Johnson single-shot vaccine more than two months ago should also receive a booster shot, the CDC said.

Where new cases are by county: Baker (10), Benton (28), Clackamas (119), Clatsop (12), Columbia (29), Coos (25), Crook (44), Curry (6), Deschutes (126), Douglas (53), Gilliam (1), Harney (2), Hood River (8), Jackson (80), Jefferson (36), Joséphine (36), Klamath (54), Lake (15), Lane (120), Lincoln (19) , Linn (134), Malheur (20), Marion (118), Morrow (6), Multnomah (153), Polk (37), Sherman (2), Tillamook (5), Umatilla (42), Union (11) , Wasco (14), Washington (110), Wheeler (1) et Yamhill (41).

Deaths: 96-year-old Washington County the man tested positive on October 15 and died on October 19. The authorities still confirmed the place of his death.

A 50-year-old woman from Multnomah County tested positive on August 17 and died on September 1. The authorities had not yet confirmed the place of his death.

An 81-year-old man from Multnomah County tested positive on September 12 and died on September 24 at Providence Portland Medical Center.

A 72-year-old man from Klamath County tested positive on October 12 and died on October 20 at Sky Lakes Medical Center.

A 69-year-old man from Harney County tested positive on October 17 and died on October 20 at Harney District Hospital.

A 70-year-old Washington County man tested positive on October 2 and died on October 16 at OHSU Hillsboro Medical Center.

A 71-year-old woman from Multnomah County tested positive on August 9 and died on October 16 at Legacy Good Samaritan Medical Center.

An 86-year-old man from Marion County tested positive on October 18 and died on October 20 in Salem Hospital.

A 52-year-old man from Linn County tested positive on September 28 and died on October 21 at the Good Samaritan Regional Medical Center.

A 78-year-old man from Malheur County tested positive on October 8 and died on October 20 at the St. Alphonsus Regional Medical Center in Idaho.

Officials said half of those who died had underlying health issues and the status of the other half is not yet known.

Hospitalizations: Authorities said 537 confirmed COVID-19 patients were hospitalized on Friday, 30 fewer than on Thursday. Patients in intensive care unit beds fell by five, to 128 on Friday.

Vaccines: 2,737 people have been newly vaccinated since Thursday, officials said.

From the beginning : Oregon has reported 357,526 new confirmed or suspected infections and 4,284 deaths, noting that one previously reported death was in an out-of-state person. Oregon’s numbers are among the lowest per capita in the country. To date, the state has reported 5,384,494 doses of vaccine administered, fully immunizing 2,583,129 people and partially immunizing 213,202 people.

To see more data and trends, visit https://projects.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/

– Aimée Verte; [email protected]; @o_aimee

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