leading parties are “tied” – .

leading parties are “tied” – .

TORONTO – The leading federal parties are “tied” with the latest polls showing the Liberals leading the Conservative Party with just over one percent between them, according to pollster Nik Nanos.

According to Nanos Research overnight tracking data for CTV News and The Globe and Mail, the Liberal Party has 32.3 percent support of Canadians polled, followed closely by the Conservatives at 31.2 percent.

The latest polls, released on Tuesday, also show the NDP at 18.9%, an increase of 0.3% from the previous day.

The People’s Party of Canada leads the other parties with 6.7 percent support, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 6.4 percent and the Green Party with 3.8 percent.

On Monday’s edition of CTV’s Trend Line podcast, Nanos said that while polls could show the Liberals were ahead numerically, the numbers are “very close” and the end result remains a “rejection right now.” “.

In poll data released Tuesday, Nanos noted that there remains a link between Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole for preferred prime minister. While O’Toole is on the rise, he added that support for Trudeau has waned over the past three nights, making the race neck and neck.

In terms of support for party leaders, Trudeau continues to maintain his slight lead over the Prime Minister’s preferred front with 30.8 percent support, followed by O’Toole with 29.5 percent. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is 17.5 percent behind. People’s Party of Canada leader Maxime Bernier leads the other parties with 6.1 percent support, followed by Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet with 3.1 percent and Green Party leader Annamie. Paul with 2.4 percent.

Interestingly, the percentage of Canadians undecided about their preferred choice of prime minister has dropped to 10.5 percent, one of the lowest in the campaign, according to Nanos.


A national random telephone survey (terrestrial and cellular sample using live agents) of 1,200 Canadians is being conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three-day period. Each evening, a new group of 400 eligible voters is questioned. Daily tracking numbers are based on a three-day rolling sample of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking, a new maintenance day is added and the oldest day is deleted. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ± 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The sample of respondents is stratified geographically and by sex. Data may be age-weighted based on data from the 2016 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Reported percentages may not add to 100 due to rounding.


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