The scale and violence of a Chinese assault on the island state would defy “human understanding” and be “ultra-mega,” according to Ian Easton, an analyst at the Virginia-based Project 2049 Institute. Beijing is determined to reunite Taiwan with the mainland and has made it clear that it is ready to do so by force if necessary. In a speech on the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party, President Xi Jinping reaffirmed his position towards Taiwan in unambiguous language.
“All the sons and daughters of China, including compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, must work together and move forward in solidarity, resolutely breaking any ‘Taiwan independence’ plot.
To have any chance of recapturing the island in a military assault, the People’s Liberation Army would have to capture at least one of Taiwan’s ports intact, Easton says in his new study.
However, the Taiwanese military has the ability to turn all of them into a brutal kill zone.
Mr. Easton argues that Taiwan could mobilize a defense force of at least 450,000 troops in the event of a Chinese invasion.
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He added: “No one really knows what such a fight looks like because it has never happened before. “