JACKSONVILLE, Floride – Elsa remains strong as she approaches her landing in Cuba, but shouldn’t get much stronger. Elsa soaked Jamaica on Sunday before she expected to soak Cuba today before turning to Florida’s Gulf Coast and beyond.
At 11 a.m., the National Hurricane Center said Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 20 miles east-southeast of Cayo Largo, Cuba. It was moving northwest at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.
The tropical storm warning along the west coast of Florida has been extended north to the Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay. Storm surge monitoring along the west coast of Florida has been extended north to the Ochlockonee River.
The storm did not experience a further drop in pressure that would indicate strengthening in the past 24 hours. A slight weakening is likely as Elsa crosses through west-central Cuba today. Strengthening over the Gulf of Mexico is expected to be limited by unfavorable westerly shear.
The NHC track forecast has been shifted slightly to the west with the 11 o’clock update.
This trail would suggest minor impacts for Jacksonville, northeast Florida and southeast Georgia from Tuesday to Wednesday.
ELSA : Impacts for Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia | TROPICS MONITORING: Interactive map | THE LAST: Animated update
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has declared a state of emergency for Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lee, Levy, Manatee, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Pasco, Pinellas and Sarasota counties. President Joe Biden declared a federal disaster ordinance for the same 15 counties.
Elsa is the fifth named storm of the season and the first Atlantic hurricane of 2021.
Stay tuned to The Weather Authority so you won’t be taken by surprise when Elsa impacts our region on Tuesday and Wednesday.
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