Earlier, Sir Patrick Vallance told a press briefing that this figure concerned people with double bites. But he then corrected himself on Twitter, saying the original statistic was wrong.
He posted: “Correct a statistic I gave at today’s press conference, July 19th.
“About 60% of hospitalizations COVID do not come from double vaccinated people, but 60% of hospitalizations due to COVID are currently unvaccinated people. “
Speaking at the briefing alongside Boris Johnson – who has appeared at a distance from Checkers where he is self-isolating – Sir Patrick said hospitalizations could reach more than 1,000 a day.
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He added: “But the rates are expected to be lower than they were before because of the protective effects of the vaccination. “
He said it was not surprising “because vaccines are not 100% effective”.
Fixed a statistic I gave at today’s press conference, July 19th. About 60% of hospitalizations for covid are not in double vaccinated people, but 60% of hospitalizations for covid are currently in unvaccinated people.
– Sir Patrick Vallance (@uksciencechief) July 19, 2021
“They are very, very effective, but not 100%, and since a higher proportion of the population is doubly vaccinated, it is inevitable that this 10% of this very large number remains at risk, and will therefore be among the people who both catch the infection and end up in the hospital. “
Meanwhile, most parts of England now have more coronavirus patients in hospital than at any time since mid-March.
Two regions – the South West of England and the Combined North East of England and Yorkshire – have returned to levels last seen over four months ago.
For England as a whole, there are now 3,813 hospital patients with COVID-19 – the highest number since March 24.
Sir Patrick also warned that there were “high levels of COVID and they are increasing”.
He said the UK was pretty close to the previous ‘winter wave’ of infections.
“In the winter wave, we were up to about 60,000 people testing positive per day,” he said.
“We’re now somewhere around 50,000. So we’re pretty close to the size of the winter infection wave and it’s going to increase. “
He said the timing of the virus’s next peak would be “uncertain”.
He said: “But most models suggest that there should be a peak and start to see some kind of plateau or decrease during the month of August.
“And at this point, if things keep going up at the rate they are – and like I said at the start, there’s something like 50,000 or almost 50,000 cases a day, or positives a day. , right now detected – with a doubling time of 11 days, you can see that this is reaching pretty high numbers very quickly.
“And another doubling time will get you to even higher numbers, of course – that would be really enough, quite worrying. So we would like to see a flattening of that, a decrease in trajectory, and ideally, as you rightly say, you would like it to decrease by September, because the return of schools would add additional pressure to that. “
England’s Deputy Chief Medical Officer Professor Jonathan Van-Tam added that the uncertainty would be “driven by human behavior over the next four to six weeks”.
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He said, “So really, it’s kind of in everyone’s hands, yours and mine.
“If we’re progressive and careful, and we don’t rip the pants off just because we’re happy to regain our full freedom, then we’ll materially affect the size and shape of the rest of this epidemic curve and where the peak occurs.” , and how big is it.
“It’s literally in the hands of the public, in terms of behavior. ”