Cincinnati Reds at the Kansas City Royals – July 6, 2021 – .

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Cincinnati Reds at the Kansas City Royals – July 6, 2021 – .


The Cincinnati Reds (44-40) will put their five-game winning streak on the line at 8:10 pm tonight against the Kansas City Royals (35-49). The Reds play inspired baseball because they are 21-12 in their last 33 games. The Reds are also now four games over 0.500 for the first time in July or later in any season since 2014. The Reds are now 6.0 games behind the first-place Brewers. They also crawled within 4.5 games of a wildcard spot.

Starting throwers

Luis Castillo rolled. He has an ERA of 2.13 / 2.76 FIP in six starts since June 1. Castillo’s 1.1 fWAR since June 1 is the sixth highest among all MLB pitchers. He had a four-set hit against the Padres on his last start before a delay in rain ruined the fun. Castillo has a career ERA of 2.89 in 2 starts against the Royals (both in 2020) with 10 K / 4 BB in 9.1 IP.

Chris Bubic has an intermediate time between the rotation and the enclosure (7 starts in 14 appearances). He’s been a lot worse as an SP, having a 5.82 ERA and allowing 12 homers in 7 starts. He allowed 3 homers in his last start in a 15-1 loss to the Red Sox. Bubic has 1 career start against the Reds last season at GABP: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 2 HR, 1 BB, 6 K. Winker and Davidson beat him.

Starting lineups

-Jonathan India is back in the lineup! The Reds Stud rookies hit in the top two places in the roster, and they both hit LHP very well: Stephenson 129 wRC +, India 131 wRC +.

-Day off for Jesse Winker. It’s 1 in 20 so far to start July, so a day off was much needed. You still want Winker’s days off to come against LHP (career 0.590 OPS vs. LHP, 0.532 in 2021).

-You really miss Nick Senzel when you see both Tyler Naquin (career .644 OPS vs. LHP) and Shogo Akiyama (career .590 OPS vs. LHP) in the starting lineup against an LHP.

-It’s good to see Aristide Aquino and his 1.016 OPS get a fresh start. It would be nice if a DH and Aquino could play regularly. The thing to remember with Aquino is that the Reds still have control over him until 2025, so he has plenty of time left.

Central trade in the Netherlands

The brewers made another trade. Tellez only has 65 wRC + in MLB this year, but he has 177 wRC + at AAA this season. He had a 133 wRC + in MLB in 127 PA last year. He had a 107 wRC + from 2018-20 with the Jays in 609 PA. He’s definitely an upgrade for the Brewers at 1B, but it’s surprising to see the Brewers give up another quality pen arm. It will be interesting to see if it comes down to biting them in the second half with so much uncertainty after last year’s short season. The headline here is that the Brewers are really trying to take action to improve their club. Hopefully the Reds decide to join the party at some point.

Conclusion

It’s definitely a pitching game that favors the Reds. Another pitching clash that favors the Reds is played out in Queens, NY: Brett Anderson (7.20 xERA) vs. Jacob DeGrom (1.40 xERA). It could be a great opportunity for the Reds to find themselves within five games of the Brewers by the end of the night. Go Red !



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