Singapore updates its first quarter GDP and economic forecast for the year 2021 –

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Singapore updates its first quarter GDP and economic forecast for the year 2021 – fr


A man wearing a face mask walks past a mural in Singapore’s Chinatown on April 1, 2020.
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SINGAPORE – Singapore’s economy grew at its fastest pace in more than a year in the first quarter of 2021, helped by a stronger-than-expected manufacturing sector, official data showed on Tuesday.
But the government has warned of “heightened uncertainties” resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic in the coming months, while keeping its growth forecast for Singapore between 4% and 6% for 2021.

Southeast Asia’s economy grew 1.3% in the quarter ended March compared to a year ago, the Ministry of Trade and Industry said in an update economic.

This is the highest growth rate in Singapore since the fourth quarter of 2019 and an improvement over official preliminary estimates of a 0.2% expansion. The latest impression of GDP also exceeded the 0.9% annual growth forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll.

On a quarterly basis, Singapore’s economy grew 3.1% – faster than previous government estimates of 2%.
Here’s how the different sectors fared in the first three months of 2021:

  • The manufacturing sector grew 10.7% from a year ago, thanks to stronger output in the electronics, precision engineering and chemicals clusters.
  • Construction contracted 22.7% over one year, weighed down by the decline in public and private sector projects.
  • Service industries edged down 0.5% from a year ago – an improvement from the 4.7% contraction in the previous quarter.

Singapore has been grappling with an increase in Covid-19 cases in recent weeks, which has led the government to impose tougher measures for about a month from May 15. An airline bubble project with Hong Kong has also been postponed.

The Ministry of Trade and Industry said the tightening of national restrictions and border controls is a “setback” for some segments of the economy.

Song Seng Wun, economist at Malaysian bank CIMB Private Banking, said Singapore’s economic trajectory depends to a large extent on what happens with the Covid-19 epidemics in the region and the global economic recovery.

That’s because Singapore has a “fairly small” domestic market, with exports up to three times the size of the economy, Song told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” after the latest data release on GDP. Singapore’s export-to-GDP ratio of over 170% is one of the highest in the world, according to World Bank data.

“Global demand for Singapore’s main exports remains quite strong, so export-oriented industries, particularly goods, (are) certainly driving Singapore’s growth,” Song said.

Overall, Singapore’s economy is expected to recover further this year “in tandem with the rebound in the global economy and further progress in the national immunization program,” the Ministry of Trade and Industry said. . He added that he will revise his economic forecast in August.

On Monday, the country reported more than 61,800 Covid cases and 32 deaths since the start of 2020, according to data from the Ministry of Health. Nearly 2 million people in Singapore – roughly a third of the population – have received at least one dose of the coronavirus virus as of May 17, according to official data.

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