Sustaining progress on immunization and maintaining some public health measures until mid-June can “help ensure a good summer,” says the modeling. He also says that reopening schools will lead to an increase in the number of cases “but it can be manageable”, and outdoor activities are much safer than indoors and “should be encouraged”.
“The public health measures, as trying and frustrating as they are, have helped stem the spread,” Adalsteinn Brown, co-chair of the science table, said at Thursday’s press conference.
“If we’re careful and careful, we can keep that momentum going. “
He added that “hospitals are always under incredible pressure”.
Brown said if the province were to reopen on June 2, it would likely lead to an increase in the number of cases.
Waiting until mid-June to start reopening, Brown said, would lead to a more sustained downtrend in cases.
Premier Doug Ford is expected to release details of his government’s most recent plan to reopen at 3 p.m. Thursday.
Certain risks could distort projections
Health Minister Christine Elliott said any reopening would be sector by sector, as opposed to the previous color-coded regional approach.
Brown also noted that there are two “critical risks” that could skew these projections – one being a dramatic increase in people-to-people contact, and the second being the “generic risk” posed by a new variant of concern. spreading in Ontario.
“We are encouraged and optimistic, but at the same time we are cautious,” Chief Medical Officer of Health Dr. David Williams said Thursday.
New numbers in the science table show the percentage of positivity for the virus, which is a key metric to monitor its spread, is dropping across Ontario. The report also shows that cases are declining in most public health units, with the most progress being made in sensitive areas, which had been a priority for vaccination campaigns.
You can read the full document at the bottom of this story.
The number of cases decreases week by week
Meanwhile, Ontario reported 2,400 more cases of COVID-19 and 27 more illness-related deaths on Thursday.
The total number of cases is higher than in recent days, but more than 350 fewer than last Thursday.
It’s best to compare the days of the week, as test levels in the province are cyclical. Thursdays often see the most new cases and the most tests completed compared to other days.
Today’s infections come as labs processed 45,406 tests and Public Health Ontario recorded a province-wide positivity rate of 5.2, the lowest on a Thursday since April 1.
The seven-day daily case average fell to 2,131, its lowest point in more than seven weeks.
Another 2,763 infections were marked as resolved, bringing the number of active cases across Ontario to approximately 23,026.
Yesterday there were 1,320 people with COVID-related illnesses in hospitals, 81 fewer than the day before, while 721 were being treated in intensive care. Of these, 492, or about 68%, needed a ventilator to breathe.
The additional deaths reported today brought the official death toll to 8,552. The seven-day average of deaths fell to 21 from 21.6 yesterday.
Meanwhile, public health units collectively administered 144,986 additional doses of COVID-19 vaccines yesterday. Almost 58% of Ontarians aged 16 and over had received at least one dose last night.