NHS ‘likely not overwhelmed’ at the end of summer as travel advice changes – fr

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NHS ‘likely not overwhelmed’ at the end of summer as travel advice changes – fr


EU plans to ease restrictions on non-essential travel
(Getty Images)

Epidemiologist Professor Neil Ferguson said the NHS was unlikely to be overwhelmed after an expected increase in Covid cases at the end of the summer.

Asked whether the social distancing rules were removed in the summer, he said: “We expect transmission and to some extent hospitalizations and deaths to increase by the end of the year. summer, if we completely return to normal, but at a much lower level than us. seen, for example, in December and January.

Meanwhile, the UK has changed its travel advice to display a list of low-risk countries, as the public awaits an official ‘green list’ of countries to be released before non-essential international travel resumes on the 17th. may.

An EU official said there remained a “question mark” as to whether the UK will be on the list of countries allowed to travel to member states for holidays, as the European Council is about to discuss plans today.

The European Commission said it was proposing to allow travelers to travel to the EU for non-essential reasons who “come from countries with good epidemiological conditions”, as well as those who received “the last recommended dose. a vaccine authorized by the EU ”. .

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“Decrease” in concerns about the fall wave

Professor Ferguson said Today his team still has some concerns about late summer and early fall, but “they’re diminishing.
“If we’re going to see another wave of transmission, this is where it would take place, but vaccine data is getting more and more encouraging, especially new data released just over a week ago. about the fact that vaccines, even if you are infected if you have been vaccinated, you are less contagious, ”he said.
“And that lowered our estimates of the size of any potential fall wave. “
Additional reports by the PA
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 9:02 AM
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Vaccines not attacking variants could lead to ‘third major wave’ in fall – expert

In addition to the NHS forecast, Professor Neil Ferguson has offered warnings of new variants that could derail progress.
He said the risk of vaccines being less effective in dealing with variants was “the major concern” that could still lead to “a very significant third wave in the fall”.
He said it was “critical to roll out booster doses, which can protect against this, as soon as we are pretty much done with vaccinating the adult population, which should be completed by the summer.” “
Additional reports by the PA
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 8:48 AM
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Professor Ferguson predicts a return to “something that looks a lot more normal by the summer”

Even so, Professor Neil Ferguson told the Today program, he “felt quite optimistic that we won’t be completely back to normal, but something that looks a lot more normal by the summer.”
The Imperial College London epidemiologist, who advises the government, also said UK data on deaths and cases were “very encouraging.”
“While we see the cases leveling off right now – and they might start to increase slightly – mortality, deaths and hospitalizations are still on the decline, and we expect them to continue to drop, maybe increase a bit next month, but only at manageable levels, ”he said.
“It puts us in a very good position to stick to the government’s roadmap – easing some restrictions in a few weeks, then many more in June.”
Additional reports by the PA
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 8:46 AM
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Foreign Ministry changes travel advice to discover “low risk” countries

The travel industry is furious that, 13 days before non-essential travel resumes, there is still no certainty about which countries and regions could be considered green.
But the new Foreign Office advice reveals places considered low risk – including the Greek and Spanish islands.
Our travel correspondent, Simon Calder, reports:
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 8:37 AM
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NHS would be unlikely at the end of summer – expert

Epidemiologist Professor Neil Ferguson said the NHS was unlikely to be overwhelmed after an expected increase in cases at the end of the summer.
Asked whether the social distancing rules were removed in the summer, he said: “We expect transmission and to some extent hospitalizations and deaths to increase by the end of the year. summer, if we completely return to normal, but at a much lower level than us. seen, for example, in December and January.
The epidemiologist told the BBC Today program: “This is obviously a political judgment on what is acceptable in terms of the number of infections.”
But he added: “We see no prospect of, say, the NHS being overwhelmed. ”
However, it will also depend on new variants, he said.
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 8:29 AM
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Inclusion of UK on EU travelers list remains ‘question mark’ – EU official

British holidaymakers may have the option to fly to a handful of European hot spots from next month.
The European Commission has proposed easing restrictions on travel to countries in the bloc amid Covid-19 vaccination campaigns and falling infection rates.
He proposes “to authorize entry into the EU for non-essential reasons not only for all people coming from countries where the epidemiological situation is good, but also for all people who have received the last recommended dose of a vaccine authorized by the EU ”.
It was not said which countries would be on its list, but an anonymous EU official said the UK remained a ‘question mark’.
Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 7:47 AM
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Hello and welcome to our continued coverage of the coronavirus pandemic.

Zoe TidmanMay 4, 2021 7:47 AM

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