Scotland’s loss last weekend made the situation much clearer heading into the fifth round, with just two of the Championship’s six teams still in contention to be crowned 2021 champions.
Super Saturday Scenarios: What Wales Need To Win The 2021 Guinness Six Nations
Wales are in the lead and on track to win a famous Grand Slam in Paris with four wins in four games, having seen Ireland, Scotland, England and Italy before.
But despite France’s Grand Slam hopes that flare up after their defeat to England at Twickenham, Fabien Galthie’s men could still spoil the Welsh party on Saturday.
The Blues still have their postponed game against Scotland to play and if all goes according to plan in both games they could still fight the title away from Wales.
So, as we prepare for a highly anticipated competition at the Stade de France, we are looking at all the possible permutations that could see France lift the Championship trophy.
HOW FRANCE COULD SPEAK A PARTY
France lag Wales by nine points ahead of their Super Saturday meeting in Paris.
The hosts were undefeated after the opening two rounds, which culminated in victories over Italy and Ireland, but England ended their Grand Slam bid with a 23-20 victory at Twickenham.
The defeat has yet to ruin their title chances, however, and the Blues could claim a first league crown since 2010 with the good results in their last two games.
England loose and the fault which holds back France | Analysis powered by AWS
Firstly, they have to beat Wales on Super Saturday to prevent Wayne Pivac’s side from winning the Grand Slam, as the visitors’ victory makes things easier – the title will be theirs.
However, a victory for the Blues without a bonus point and nothing for Wales would see the title decide on the points difference if France continued to beat Scotland with a bonus point.
This would mean Wales and France would finish with 19 points, with the leaders currently having a 24 point advantage over their hosts in terms of point difference.
If France win with a bonus point and Wales get nothing on Saturday, France will win the title with a bonus points triumph over Scotland when their revamped match takes place in Paris.
In that scenario, the full ten points from their last two games would see last year’s finalists finish the championship with 20 points – one point better than Wales out of 19.
Preview: France v Wales
A standard victory over Scotland for France would see the Championship being decided based on the points difference, with anything less than that would mean Wales would be crowned champions.
If Wales got a bonus point in a bonus point loss to France, the title would again be decided on the points difference if France beat Scotland with a bonus point.
Anything less and Wales will be Guinness Six Nations champions.
One thing is certain if France can win well on Saturday night, their fate will remain firmly in their hands as Wales face a nervous wait to begin their title celebrations.