Frenchman Brice Dulin, left, scores his team’s fourth try despite a challenge from Italy’s Paolo Garbisi during the Six Nations rugby international between Italy and France at the Olympic Stadium in Rome on Saturday 6 February 2021 (Credit: AP Photo / Gregorio Borgia)
- France are home favorites at 16.5 points against Scotland in the final match of the Six Nations rugby tournament on Friday March 26
- If the French end up winning by at least 21 points while gaining a bonus point in four tries, they will win the championship.
- This match was postponed from the third round of the tournament after an outbreak of COVID-19 on the French side
France were three minutes away from losing the Six Nations rugby championship. Thanks to an incredible rally, if the French can put their boots on Scotland in the tournament final match on Friday March 26, the title can still be theirs.
By storming two tries in the final three minutes, the French ended up beating Wales 32-30. This result prevented the Welsh from locking the championship. To win the title over current leaders Wales, France must beat Scotland by at least 21 points while recording a bonus point from four tries.
The betting line strongly favors France, but not enough. The French have 16.5 favorite points over the Scots.
Scotland vs France Six Nations odds
|Team||Moneyline at DraftKings||Spread||Total|
Probabilities as of March 16.
Friday kickoff at Stade de France is 4:00 p.m. ET. NBC Peacock Premium is broadcasting the show.
This match was originally scheduled for Sunday February 28. However, it was postponed following an outbreak of COVID-19 within the French team.
Explain what France must do
Obviously, to start, France must beat Scotland. By winning the match, France must score four tries to earn the bonus point. Wales lead France 20-15 in the points table, so the French need the five available points which come from a bonus point triumph.
– Guinness Six Nations (@SixNationsRugby) 20 mars 2021
Then the French must succeed with a margin of no less than 21 points. This is because Wales currently hold a 20 point advantage over France in terms of the points differential. This is the first tiebreaker to determine the Six Nations title.
If France gets the bonus point and wins exactly by a margin of 20 points, the French must score a minimum of six tries.
The total of tries scored is the second tiebreaker. Wales currently lead France 20-15 in the testing department.
Fit to be tied
It is also possible that Wales and France share the Six Nations crown. If the French end up beating Scotland by exactly 20 points while scoring exactly five tries, the two countries would be tied on points, points differential and tries scored.
– Guinness Six Nations (@SixNationsRugby) 23 mars 2021
The last time there was a split title was in 1988 when Wales and France got stuck at the top of the table.
French midfielder Matthew Jalibert is absent for Friday’s game. He suffered a head injury in the win over Wales.
France should do without Matthieu Jalibert for final Six Nations game against Scotland
It looks like a start for Romain Ntamack and we imagine that Louis Carbonel will be called in his place pic.twitter.com/8cCUNyGHep
– Paul Eddison (@pauleddison) 21 mars 2021
Romain Ntamack will replace Jalibert against Scotland. He came as Jalibert’s replacement in the Wales game. Ntamack was France’s first choice during the stalemate in 2020.
Louis Carbonel is an addition to the team to serve as a cover for Ntamack.
No French cuisine for Scotland
It had been so long since Scotland won a match in France, the tournament was still known as the Five Nations. The Scots made a 36-22 decision at the Stade de France on April 10, 1999.
Since this result, Scotland have lost 12 games in a row against France. In those 12 straight wins over the Scots, France’s average margin of victory is 11.75 points per game.
– Guinness Six Nations (@SixNationsRugby) 22 mars 2021
Only twice in those dozens of triumphs have the French managed to secure the 21-point margin they will need on Friday.
Scotland are proving difficult in this tournament. The Scots beat Italy and England, losing by one point to Wales and three to Ireland.
Picks: Scotland +16.5 (-113)