Ontario Expected to Release New Modeling Data Tuesday Amid Rise in COVID-19 Cases

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TORONTO – Ontario health officials are expected to release new modeling data on Tuesday as the province grapples with the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Premier Doug Ford hinted at modeling last week, saying the data would “knock people off their chairs.”

The last time the modeling data was released was in mid-December before the holiday season. At the time, officials predicted that if cases grew by an average of 3% per day, the province would generate about 5,000 cases per day by the end of the month.

Officials said “daily mortality is increasing and is predicted to continue to rise,” adding that according to “the maximum likelihood estimate” the province would see just under 50 deaths per day by February. .

He also predicted that regardless of the scenario, Ontario would exceed the threshold of 300 COVID-19 patients in intensive care, making it nearly impossible to provide care unrelated to the disease.

The modeling is presented hours before the Prime Minister announces new measures to curb the spread of the disease.

Several sources have confirmed to CTV News that the invocation of a state of emergency is under consideration.

Modeling data is expected to be made public around 11:30 a.m.

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