The number of one-day deaths in New York is approaching 100; NJ wins another record-breaking day of cases – NBC New York

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Another record-breaking day of new coronavirus cases in New Jersey, helped by the third-highest day in New York, led the three states to surpass 1.3 million cases of the virus this weekend.

The continued rise in cases has not slowed much despite further restrictions from governors keen to turn the tide; governors are now juggling efforts to stop the spread as the first vaccine shipments are expected to reach states from Monday.

As cases increase and more patients are admitted to hospitals in the region, the number of deaths linked to the virus has also slowly increased. New York on Saturday reported 95 deaths. It’s the closest the state has come to breaking 100 in a month.

The number of New Yorkers admitted to hospitals has been rising steadily for several months, rising to 5,000 on December 10 for the first time since spring. That number reached 5,359 on Saturday.

The number of hospitalized people in New York City concerned the governor enough to reinstate a dining room closure from Monday, he said on Friday. More closures could happen in the city or the rest of the state depending on worsening conditions, he warned.

Mitigating the increase in the state’s hospitalization rate has become Cuomo’s top priority – and he recalibrated the state’s micro-cluster model as part of a revised comprehensive plan after the vacation he unveiled on Friday. This plan includes new standards for the red, orange and yellow cluster areas and adjusted focus measurements.

If an area of ​​the state is expected to reach 90% of its hospital capacity within 21 days, the governor will impose a red zone closure. This means that non-essential businesses, schools and table service in restaurants are closing in a given region for an indefinite period, a measure reminiscent of strict spring closures.

“If we don’t slow the spread and overwhelm the hospital system – we come to a red zone… then every restaurant goes interior zero, exterior zero. This is the worst case, ”he added.

The changes announced Friday are at the heart of Cuomo’s revised winter plan, which prioritizes hospital capacity and focuses heavily on positivity rates, density, level of risk of economic activity and rate of transmission. It’s a nested strategy.

“We can’t relax until COVID relaxes – and COVID doesn’t relax,” Cuomo said.

New York City has a lower hospitalization rate than 3/4 of the state’s regions and most major US cities, but its density is an increased risk factor. The new restrictions that go into effect on Monday ensure the risk is not underestimated.

The city also has the fewest beds available of the state’s 10 regions after Long Island (18% and 19%, respectively). Cuomo said on Friday that all hospitals in the state were to stay below 85% of capacity. They can achieve this by adding 25% more capacity, suspending elective surgeries, or both. They have the flexibility, he says.

While statewide hospitalizations pale today compared to the 19,000 hospitalizations admitted at the height of the crisis in April, they are at their highest level since May 19 and mark a sharp increase over the years. recent months for staff and newly besieged hospital facilities. Cuomo attributed some of the wave to Thanksgiving gatherings.

Households and small gatherings account for 74% of the virus spread, based on contact tracing data. Restaurants and bars make up much less – around 1.43% of exhibits in September – but concern is magnified in an area as dense as New York City, given the growing number of people.

The race for NJ hospitals

Hospitalizations have also become the baseline measure in neighboring New Jersey, which has also seen a large increase in this measure over the past 14 days. Hospitalizations in the state stood at 3,571 on Friday, the highest total since May 14.

Cases have also increased dramatically, but the number of hospitalizations is greater for Governor Phil Murphy, as it is for Cuomo in New York.

“The third rail that we can’t touch is on hospitals and hospital capacity,” Murphy said on Friday. Earlier this week, he said it’s the numbers that determine the state’s next steps.

At this time, these next steps do not include any plans to again limit indoor meals. Asked again on the matter on Friday, given Cuomo’s announcement in New York City and a new indoor dining ban in Pennsylvania, Murphy held on.

“We stay with what we have,” the governor said. “We try to be as surgical as possible. ”

While New Jersey is the densest state in the country, Murphy compares it overall more to Westchester County or Long Island, where indoor dining remains open at reduced capacity for the time being, than to Mecca at high. density that is New York. Home catering remains capped at 25% of capacity in the Garden State, and its governor says there is no major evidence that indoor dining is fueling the boom.

The governor has taken steps to improve compliance, including imposing a 22-hour curfew on bars and restaurants statewide. Those late-night hours were when generally conforming spaces turned into unmasked, crowded spaces, Murphy said.

On Friday, he announced various crackdowns against nearly a dozen New Jersey bars and restaurants for repeated offenses. At least one could be closed for 70 days.

“Let these fees send a perfectly clear signal to any bar or restaurant owner who thinks the rules don’t apply to them. It will happen to you, ”Murphy said. “Our job is to protect both public health and our economy. We will not tolerate head-to-tail behavior and we will not hesitate to shut you down. ”

Compliance – both on the part of businesses and the public – cannot be underestimated as a weapon in the fight against COVID. New Jersey’s worst and moderate projection models debuted earlier this week emphasize this point.

In the nightmarish scenario, which assumes no change in public behavior, the daily number of cases could double in a month and hospitalizations could reach record highs in April through mid-January. This level of tension could overwhelm the system.

In the moderate outcome scenario, which assumes an increased level of public respect for masks, social distancing and avoidance of gatherings, daily new cases would continue to rise, but hospital levels would remain manageable.



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