Best Bets: TSN Edge NFL Staff’s Best Bets for Week 16


For 15 weeks, the New York Jets looked doomed to end up with the first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Even in the rare few weeks that the Jets fought and looked set for upset victories over the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders, they finally found a way to lose.

Then everything changed in week 15.

On the heels of 13 straight losses, Sam Darnold led New York to a stunning 23-20 win over the Los Angeles Rams as a 17.5-point loser.

As the players celebrated their first victory on the field after the game, Jets fans wondered what the next step was for the franchise.

New York’s chances of landing the No. 1 overall pick in 2021 were over 50% after the win.

While the Jets are still tied with the Jacksonville Jaguars for the worst record in the NFL, it’s the Jaguars who hold the head-to-head tiebreaker for the top pick based on schedule strength.

So what’s next for New York?

The Jets could finish 1-15 and still miss the projected 2021 NFL Draft prize to Trevor Lawrence.

The next step for New York is a clash with a team heading in the opposite direction of the Cleveland Browns.

Cleveland has won five of its last six games to keep hopes for an AFC North title with two weeks remaining.

With plenty still on the line, the Browns should have no problem beating the Jets on Sunday, right?

Here are our best bets for week 16 in the NFL.

Domenic Padula: Cleveland Browns aux New York Jets Over 46,5

In Weeks 9 and 11, New York averaged 27.5 consecutive losing points against the Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers on either side of its week off.

In Week 12, the Jets scored three points in a 20-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins.

In Week 13, they scored 28 points in a loss to the Raiders.

The following week they were held to three points in a 40-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks.

So what can we expect after scoring 23 points in their first win of the year against the Rams?

The good news for New York is that Cleveland has the 23rd defense in the league, which has allowed an average of 26.7 points per game this season.

The bad news for the Jets is that the Browns’ offense has averaged 26.3 points per game, which means they could struggle to keep up.

Can Darnold and his company hang out with Cleveland long enough to make this game interesting?

As inconsistent as this group has been all season, I think New York should be able to score at least a few scores at home against a defense that ranks 26th in the DVOA.

On the other hand, Baker Mayfield is playing some of the best football of his career.

Now he has the opportunity to ignite a defense that ranks last in the NFL through the EPA.

I bet both teams are going over their implied point totals for this game and combine to push that total out of the number.

Picks: Browns at Jets Over 46.5

Luke Bellus – Los Angeles Rams contre Seattle Seahawks

Nothing in this league has more meaning.

And I’m finally ready to fully embrace the fool.

The Los Angeles Rams were given nine days off before facing the New York Jets without a win last week. They also played on the heels of the demolition of the New England Patriots, and we all know what happened next.

The Rams were horrible in Week 15, and I could tell you about that, but losing a streak to a 0-13 team speaks volumes.

“This defeat will only demoralize us to the extent that we allow it. It’s going to be embarrassing, your stomach hurts, ”said coach Sean McVay after the game. “… It was very humiliating, it’s going to be humiliating, but we’ll move on. This is exactly what we are going to do. That’s all I can do.

If there’s one major way forward, I think it’s with a massive divisional victory.

This week, the Rams will face the Seattle Seahawks, NFC West rivals, in a game that will heavily influence the division winner.

I love the Rams in this bounce spot, and it looks like the plan for this game was on display in Week 10 when Los Angeles beat Seattle 23-16.

Russell Wilson was held to 248 passing yards and two interceptions in a game that also saw DK Metcalf held to just two catches and 28 yards on four targets.

Seattle has been limited to less than three touchdowns in three of its last four games and faces a defense that ranks No.1 in the league.

The Rams enter the NFL this week for the fewest yards allowed and first for the fewest yards allowed.

Their 19.2 points per game puts them third among the lowest in the league.

In fact, the Rams have allowed 4,005 total yards this season.

Meanwhile, Seattle gave up 4,102 passing yards alone.

It’s a crazy league, where the impossible seems to happen every week.

I see the Rams bouncing back and turning their season in the right direction barely a week after suffering one of the most humiliating losses in recent memory.

Choice: Rams +2

Chris Amberley: Los Angeles Chargers -3 contre Denver Broncos

The Los Angeles Chargers have won back-to-back outings and now face a Denver Broncos team that was just gutted by the Buffalo Bills.

Los Angeles crippled Las Vegas’ playoff hopes last Thursday, as Justin Herbert once again showed why he is a lock to win offensive rookie of the year.

Herbert threw 314 yards against the Raiders and made up three total touchdowns despite playing most of the game without his top two wide receivers to Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.

Allen and Williams are expected for this clash and are ready to crush the exhausted Broncos.

Denver is missing three of its key side pieces and was shredded by Herbert and the Bolts for 485 total yards and 30 points in their first meeting of 2020.

An A + match in the racing game also works in favor of the Chargers.

Since Week 7, the Broncos have allowed 1,065 rushing yards and 11 TDs to enemy running backs.

On the other side of the ball, the Broncos’ offense continues to decline with Drew Lock and has now racked up 21 points or less in 10 of 14 games this season.

They rank 28th in points and total yards per game, and only four teams average fewer passing yards per outing.

I’ll take the Chargers to win and cover in this one.

Choice: Chargers -3


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