This interactive map reveals areas that could be at risk of going into the highest lockdown level from next week.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson last night pleaded with the British to come together again to ban the coronavirus.
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Mr Johnson presented the government’s tough winter plan, warning that the Christmas period was ‘the season of the utmost caution’ and that local lockdown levels will last until at least March.
The latest infection data for England show 249 of 315 local authorities have seen a drop in cases in the past seven days through November 19.
Regions such as Hull in Yorkshire, Swale in Kent, East Lindsey in Lincolnshire and Hartlepool in the northeast are all expected to enter level 3 as they have the highest infection rates in the country, data shows by PHE.
Our interactive map reveals the areas with the highest infection rates in dark red, while the lighter the color, the lower the number of cases per 100,000 population.
Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said this morning that although half of the country may be placed on the more stringent Level 3 alert level, it will still allow more freedoms than the national lockdown currently in place for the ‘England.
Dr Mike Tildesley, a member of the Pandemic Influenza Modeling Science Panel (SPI-M), which advises the government, said he expected many parts of England to emerge from the lockdown towards the level The highest.
Level 3 should include a ban for households to mingle indoors or outdoors until a Christmas break, pubs and restaurants are only allowed to offer click and collect services and marriages still prohibited.
In a change from the previous tiered system, it is expected that Gyms will be allowed to open at tier 3.
The government is expected to announce that families will be able to hang out in “festive bubbles” for five days over Christmas in an early PM prezzie.
But experts have warned that those living on level 3 will not be able to stay away overnight.
Professor Sian Griffiths says it’s because you can’t have anyone in your house and the overnight stays depend on the number of people in your household.
Shoppers should also be able to shop for gifts and treats on the high street next month.
While most people will be able to prepare for Christmas, some will be forced to adhere to strict restrictions due to a growing number of coronavirus cases.
On Thursday, the government is set to reveal the levels of each local authority.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson confirmed yesterday afternoon that this will be announced Thursday during a session in the House of Commons – which he attended virtually.
He said the levels would be determined by five key indicators:
- case detection rate in all age groups
- case detection rate in the over 60s
- the rate of infections increases or decreases
- the positivity rate – or the number of positive Covid cases as a percentage of tests performed
- pressure on the NHS, including current and planned bed occupancy.
THE TOP 10 CORONAVIRUS HOTSPOTS IN ENGLAND
PHE data shows the rates of coronavirus cases across England.
Figures, for the seven days to November 16, show Hull has the most infections and West Suffolk has the least – with just 58.1 cases per 100,000.
Here are the 10 places with the highest cases in England per 100,000
Hull – 568.6
Swale – 565,0
Thanet – 508,0
East Lindsey – 493.2
Dudley – 484,5
Stoke-on-Trent – 482,1
Hyndburn – 467,7
Hartlepool – 460,2
Boston – 450,3
Sandwell – 447,6
‘End by levels’
Last week, it was revealed that several local authorities were looking to get into severe restrictions once the lockdown was lifted.
Mr Shapps added: “I think we need to be a little tighter on the levels – level 3 in more places is a strong possibility – but there is always a difference between that and what we are doing now.
“For example, in terms of the number of people being able to meet outside in a public place, and a number of other things.
“We have been living this nightmare for a long time now, we all know that the only way to beat this virus is, I am afraid, to keep people away and separated from the most natural thing, which is human contact. . ”
Most of the country is expected to revert to the strictest level 3 or high risk level 2.
Initially, a lot of regions can end up at level 3, but we can find a kind of phased move.
Dr Mike Tildesley
Level 2 will be “reinforced” and it is understood that pubs will only be allowed to serve alcohol on the sidelines of a “heavy meal” and that bettors will only be able to dine inside with people. they live with.
Level 3 ads will only be allowed to operate on a click and collect basis with no seats inside.
Dr Tildesley told BBC Breakfast this morning that there is good evidence to prove that the level 3 restrictions have pushed the R-rate below 1 in some places.
He said: “I would expect that initially a lot of regions would probably end up in Tier 3, but we might find some sort of phased move.
“” At first we might see slightly more severe levels, but when we start to see the effect of the lockdown, 1-2 weeks after the lockdown ends on December 2nd, we might see some areas gradually dropping the levels. “
Data from the government Coronavirus Dashboard that calculates PHE data shows Swale in Kent has 565.0 cases of the virus per 100,000 population.
Areas in southern England were previously under Tier 1 restrictions as cases remained low – but recent data shows that while Swale is not top of the list, it is not far behind rates observed in the northern regions of the country. .
Hull continues to have the highest rate in England, 1,477 new cases recorded in the seven days to November 19 – the equivalent of 568.6 cases per 100,000 population.
Thanet is in third place with 508 cases per 100,000 population.
The areas with the largest weekly rate increases are Medway (from 283.6 to 396.3, with 1,104 new cases); Gravesham (280.5 to 388.1, with 415 new cases); and Hyndburn (from 386.2 to 467.7, with 379 new cases).
The north of England was previously home to the majority of coronavirus infections and experts had previously warned that the virus “is not just a problem in the North”.
On Friday, Sage’s estimates suggested that the North West of England currently had an R-rate of between 0.8 and 1.
Figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Friday revealed that cases are on the decline in the Northwest.
The ONS said there is a “substantial difference” in regional tariffs.
The official figures body said: ‘Over the past week infection rates have continued to rise in London, the east of England and the south-east, but rates now appear decrease in the northwest and the East Midlands.
“The highest Covid-19 infection rates remain in the North West and Yorkshire and the Humber. ”
Southern regions are also experiencing an increase in cases.
Official data also indicates that at the regional level – many parts of the North have seen a decline in cases.
Previous hotspots such as Leicester could again find themselves in the tightest restrictions with 428.0 cases per 100,000, while Blackburn with Darwen also faces tough restrictions with 387.5 cases per 100,000.
Boris Johnson will announce the levels that will apply in different parts of the country on Thursday, November 26.
At the start of the pandemic, London had a high number of cases and cases have been on the rise since early November.
The capital had already faced Level 2 restrictions before the second nationwide lockdown.
While cases in London have continued to rise since early November, there have been signs the national lockdown is helping cases stabilize across the country.
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THIRD PARTY END
Covid hotspots that could enter the top tier when lockdown ends
London Mayor Sadiq Khan has urged Londoners to continue to abide by the restrictions to help fight the virus.
He said: “Today more than ever it is essential that we continue to follow the rules as we still have very difficult months ahead in our fight against the virus.
“But I’m happy to say the end is finally in sight.
“We can see the light at the end of the tunnel because, with the positive news about vaccines leaking out and the incredible work of our scientists, we can afford to be upbeat and optimistic about the future and start planning for life. after the virus. ”