The only place in Wales where coronavirus cases are on the rise


The rate of the spread of Covid-19 is on the decline in all parts of Wales except one.While experts say it’s still too early to draw clear conclusions about the impact of the recent 17-day firewall lockdown on the transmission, the latest figures look encouraging. However, part of Wales has seen a substantial increase in cases.

We scanned data from Public Health Wales to see the places in Wales where the disease is spreading the fastest. We compared the latest set of numbers, released on Friday, November 13, with those from seven days earlier.

These figures are moving seven-day totals for new cases adjusted for population (per 100,000 population). It’s important to remember that while these numbers are a helpful guide, they’re only part of the story.

The image in Ceredigion:

The county of West Wales is the only part of Wales to see an increase in cases in the past seven days.

According to Health Minister Vaughan Gething, it is an epidemic in a nursing home. An investigation by WalesOnline found that flaws in the testing system overseen by Lighthouse Laboratories led the virus to take hold in several Welsh care facilities.

It should be noted that because Ceredigion has such a small population, a small number of cases can make a big difference compared to the cases per 100,000.

At Friday’s coronavirus briefing for Wales, Mr Gething showed this slide of the rates of confirmed coronavirus cases per 100,000 people:

Responding to what he showed, the Minister of Health said: ‘You can clearly see the spike in cases at Merthyr Tydfil and Rhondda Cynon Taf, where we have seen the highest levels of coronavirus in Wales, before they start to back down sharply lately. days.

“The seven-day moving average incidence rate in Merthyr Tydfil has dropped from almost 770 cases per 100,000 population to around 420.

“In Wrexham, which had the highest rates in North Wales, the incidence rate almost halved to around 150 cases per 100,000 people.

“Wales’ overall rate has now fallen to around 170 cases per 100,000 population.

“In all parts of Wales the trend is down, except in Ceredigion where cases are increasing largely due to an outbreak in a nursing home.

“Unfortunately, and despite our best efforts to keep the coronavirus out, in many parts of Wales we have seen outbreaks in nursing homes. ”

In the first wave of the pandemic, Ceredigion was barely affected by the coronavirus, which has been largely attributed to a ‘homemade’ testing, tracking and tracing system. Read about it here.

The places where the virus falls fastest are Swansea and Cardiff, both of which have seen an almost 50% drop in cases according to the most recent data:

Merthyr Tydfil is still the place in Wales with the highest incidence rate. The prime minister said earlier in the week that the military was working on plans to conduct mass tests in the region. A further meeting between politicians and the military took place on the matter on Thursday and at Friday’s briefing Mr Gething said the possibility remained under consideration as ministers wanted to see further evidence of the impact of such a program in Liverpool.

This table shows the growth rates in each local authority:


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