Since the data only breaks down when 11 or more transfer requests were made to a particular county outside of New York City, the number of moves is actually higher. And a single change of address could represent an entire household, which means well over 300,000 New Yorkers have fled the five boroughs.
Whatever the exact number, the exodus – which began when COVID-19 hit the city in early spring – is much larger than in previous years. From March to July alone, there were 244,895 address change requests to out-of-city destinations, more than double the 101,342 during the same period in 2019.
The New York City breakout is fueled not only by coronavirus concerns, but also economic concerns, school chaos and rising crime, experts say.
Michael Hendrix, director of state and local policy at the Manhattan Institute, which commissioned state surveys of the city, was not surprised by the data.
“I think people are scared,” Hendrix said. “They are afraid of catching a deadly virus and they are afraid of crime and other quality of life issues. One thing we also hear is about garbage and the cleanliness of the city. “
The institute’s six-figure employee survey in July and August found that 44% of those polled had considered leaving the city in the previous four months. They cited the cost of living as the main reason. More than a third, 38%, said they thought the city was going in the wrong direction and only 38% rated the quality of life as good or excellent.
More than half, 53%, said they were very concerned about sending their children back to school.
Major crimes have increased this year, with the number of murders in the Big Apple reaching 344 in October, surpassing the total number for 2019. The number of shootings through November 8 is up 94% from 2019.
“The main reason people are leaving the city is uncertainty about the end of the pandemic and how quickly New York’s economy will recover,” said Kathryn Wylde, partnership manager for New York. “Over half a million city dwellers who were employed in retail, restaurant and service industries have lost their jobs and cannot afford city rents. . The late decision to reopen public and private schools forced many families to relocate in order to meet enrollment deadlines in the districts where they lived during the pandemic.
The partnership was behind a September appeal from key business leaders to the mayor of Blasio, urging him to tackle crime and quality of life issues.
Postal data shows that many fleeing New Yorkers simply crossed the border to Long Island, Westchester or New Jersey. The post office received 21,362 change requests in Suffolk County, 18,731 in Nassau County and 15,850 in Westchester County. A total of 9,356 people wanted their mail sent to Hudson County, NJ.
The Hamptons – where many families have stayed in second homes and enrolled their children in local schools – was a desired destination, with 6,500 inquiries made to six postcodes in the East. Easthampton tops the list with 2,769 and Southampton 1,398.
Popular places closer to the city included Jersey City and Hoboken as well as the chic suburbs of Scarsdale and Greenwich, CT.
But some New Yorkers have gone a long way – 8,587 asked for their mail for Los Angeles and 421 for Honolulu. There were 13,009 requests for the Sunshine State counties of Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade.
The data does not indicate whether the requests were permanent or temporary. La Poste will deliver the mail for six months when it receives a temporary request.
Statistics confirm what New Yorkers see on the streets. Moving trucks doted neighborhoods across the city, with movers claiming locals were packing their bags in the suburbs and beyond.
Three postcodes on the Upper West Side – where locals protested against two new homeless shelters and complained about rising crime – had a total of 9,076 mail forwarding requests, the largest part from the city.
Murray Hill, a popular neighborhood for young people, received 2,889 requests, suggesting many residents may have returned to children’s homes.
Another sign that the exodus has not subsided, vacant homes rose to 16,145 last month, up from 15,923 in September and the highest number in 14 years, according to a new report.
The trend appears to be statewide, according to a Wall Street Journal report. Nearly 47,000 more Redfin.com users sought to leave the state rather than settle there during the third quarter, about 35% more than the same period last year.
Meanwhile, according to the Journal, Queens, Brooklyn and the Bronx were the three cooling US real estate markets the most, in that order.
WHERE THEY CAME FROM
Top zip codes New Yorkers left between March 1 and October 31, 2020, with the number of change of address requests for each area:
1. Upper West Side, 10023: 3 368
2. Upper West Side, 10025: 3 000
3. Murray Hill, 10016: 2 889
4. Upper West Side, 10024: 2 708
5. Chelsea / Greenwich Village, 10011: 2 520
6. Upper East Side, 10 128: 2 165
7. Downtown Brooklyn, 11201: 1 836
8. Gramercy / East Village, 1 0003: 1 677
9. Upper East Side, 10028: 1 631
10. Midtown East, 10022: 1 410
11. Midtown West, 10019: 1 484
12. Upper East Side, 10021: 1 506
13. Chelsea, 10001: 1 222
14. West Village, 10014: 1 192
15. Park Slope, Brooklyn, 11215: 1 006
16. Rose Hill / Peter Cooper Village, 10010: 1 002
17. Midtown, 10018: 987
18. Tribeca / Chinatown, 10013: 899
19. Midtown, 10036: 837
20. East Village, 10009: 728
WHERE THEY LANDED
Top destinations for New Yorkers who left the city between March and October, with the number of change of address requests for each zip code:
1. East Hampton, NY, 11937: 2 769
2. Jersey City, NJ, 07302: 1 821
3. Southampton, NY, 11968: 1 398
4. Hoboken, NJ, 07030: 1 204
5. Sag Harbor, NY, 11963: 961
6. Scarsdale, NY, 10583: 812
7. Water Mill, NY, 11976: 577
8. Greenwich, CT, 06830: 558
9. Yonkers, NY: 10701, 567
10. Jersey City, NJ, 07310: 434
11. Port Washington, NY, 11050: 414
12. Westhampton Beach, NY, 11978: 409
13. Princeton, NJ, 08540: 395
14. Woodstock, NY, 12498: 392
15. New Canaan, CT, 06840: 389
16. Great Neck / Manhasset, NY, 11021: 380
17. Hampton Bays, NY, 11946: 344
18. Darien, CT, 06820: 326
19. Mount Vernon, NY, 10550: 325
20. Long Beach, NY, 11561: 323
Source: United States Postal Service