Cut Prediction: Masters Tournament

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Masters Tournament 2021, 1st round (delayed)Rating conditions:

Total: -0.61 shots per round

Morning wave: -0.23

Afternoon wave: -1.32

Current cup (top 50 and ties):

50 players at -1 or more (T34)

Top 3 projected limit probabilities:

1. Pair: 37.0%
2.1 below par: 30.6%
3.1 above normal: 17.6%

Top 10 odds of winning:

1. Justin Thomas (T2, -5, 17.8%)
2. Dustin Johnson (T13, -3, 10,5%)
3. Xander Schauffele (T2, -5, 8.9%)
4. Jon Rahm (T13, -3, 6,8%)
5. Webb Simpson (T2, -5, 5,5%)
6. Paul Casey (1, -7, 5,4%)
7. Hideki Matsuyama (T5, -4, 4,5%)
8. Patrick Reed (T5, -4, 3,4%)
9. Adam Scott (T5, -4, 3,2%)
10. Patrick Cantlay (T21, -2, 2,9%)

NOTE: These reports are based on the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live odds of “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5” and “Win” every 5 minutes, from the opening tee shot to the final putt of each PGA TOUR event. In short, the model takes into account each golfer’s current form as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and the probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow the odds of ending live throughout the rest of the Masters Tournament, or to see how each golfer’s odds have evolved from the start of the event to the present time, click here for the template’s home page.



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