Covid-19 rates drop in most – but not all – local areas of England

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Covid-19 case rates have started to drop in most local parts of England, according to the latest figures.

In only two of the nine regions, the majority of regions register a weekly increase: London and the south-east of England.

It is, however, still too early to judge the full impact on England-wide lockdown case rates.

Nationwide restrictions began on November 5 and the most recent figures are for the week ending November 18 – just 14 days after the lockdown.

Since the onset of symptoms of Covid-19 can take up to two weeks, and longer for a person to be tested and the result processed, more data is needed to be certain of how and of where case rates are declining.

But the latest figures suggest the numbers are heading in the right direction, but especially not in all parts of England.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock said: “I am very happy to see in the data that the number of cases across the UK is clearly starting to decline. It’s good news. “

Here’s a look at the latest case rates in each region, including areas with the highest and lowest numbers.

In all cases, figures are for the week ending November 18 and were calculated by the PA News Agency from data released by Public Health England (PHE).

It is the region which now has the highest rates in England.

Swale tops the list, where the rate is currently 631.7 cases per 100,000 population, up from 425.8.

Thanet also appears in England’s top five rates, where the number is currently 515.1, down from 460.8.

The rate is increasing in 34 of 67 local authorities in south-east England.

Other areas with large jumps include Medway (256.3-384.8) and Gravesham (269.3-386.2).

The largest week-over-week decline was recorded in Oxford, where the rate fell from 256.5 to 152.8.

The Isle of Wight has the lowest rate in the region at 76.2, up very slightly from 74.8.

(PA graphics) Credit: PA Graphics

Rates are falling in almost all parts of Yorkshire and the Humber – a turnaround from last week when most areas saw increases.

In the latest numbers, only three out of 21 areas showed an increase: Craven, North Lincolnshire and Selby.

North Lincolnshire saw the largest weekly rate hike – but it was only a slight increase, from 412.1 to 448.1.

Scarborough saw the largest decline, from 614.2 to 349.4.

Hull continues to have the highest rate in the region and second in all of England: 615.1, up from 785.3.

York has the lowest rate: 142.9, down from 185.6.

Fares are on the rise in just three of 39 regions in North West England: Carlisle, Hyndburn and South Lakeland.

Hyndburn saw the biggest increase, from 382.5 to 487.4.

It is also the highest rate in the region.

Oldham, who once had the highest rate in England, fell from 641.1 to 442.0 – the largest week-over-week decline in the Northwest.

Lancaster has the lowest rate: 119.1, compared to 149.3.

Liverpool continue to see a steep drop in rates. Its seven-day rate as of Nov. 18 is 205.2, down from 662.2. when entering level 3 government restrictions October 14.

(PA graphics) Credit: PA Graphics

Each of the 12 local authorities in north-east England saw a rate cut in the latest figures.

The largest decline was recorded at Gateshead, from 468.2 to 320.7.

Hartlepool’s rate is 514.6 – the fifth highest in England – against 531.7.

The lowest rate in the region is Northumberland: 274.2 compared to 298.7.

Case rates are on the rise in just three of the 40 local authority areas of the East Midlands, all in the south of the region: Harborough, South Northamptonshire and Wellingborough.

But the rates are still very high in parts of the East Midlands.

East Lindsey is the highest in the region, where the rate is currently 515.8, down slightly from 517.9.

It is also the third highest rate in all of England.

Rutland continues to record the lowest East Midlands rate, which has now fallen from 142.8 to 122.7.

The largest week-over-week decline was recorded at Bolsover, from 480.4 to 340.1.

(PA graphics) Credit: PA Graphics

Only five of the 30 local authority areas of the West Midlands saw an increase in the latest figures: East Staffordshire, Herefordshire, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Nuneaton and Bedworth, and Wolverhampton.

Of these, Herefordshire recorded the biggest jump, rising slightly from 153.0 to 165.5.

Telford and Wrekin saw the biggest drop, dropping from 377.5 to 274.7.

However, rates are still high in some parts of the region.

Dudley had the highest: 505.3, compared to 538.6.

Malvern Hills continues to record the lowest rate: 111.8, a very slight decrease from 115.6.

Along with the south-east of England, London is one of only two regions where a majority of areas have seen an increase in the latest figures.

Of London’s 32 zones, 20 showed an increase, with the biggest jumps being Havering (from 309.4 to 386.0), Enfield (from 175.6 to 230.4) and Redbridge (from 249.0 to 300 , 4).

Havering also has the highest rate in London.

Camden has the lowest, dropping from 125.2 to 113.3.

The neighboring borough of Islington experienced the largest week-over-week decline, from 179.0 to 145.2.

(PA graphics) Credit: PA Graphics

Bristol continues to have the highest rate in the South West of England, but the rate has fallen from 485.6 to 434.4.

In total, 20 of the region’s 29 local authorities are currently experiencing a decline.

Torbay saw the largest week-over-week decline, dropping from 226.8 to 156.3.

Teignbridge has the lowest rate: 64.1, compared to 75.3.

Seven of England’s 10 lowest rates are found in East England, including the lowest of all: Mid Suffolk, where the rate fell from 76.0 to 56.8.

In total, 27 of the 45 local authorities recorded a decline in the latest figures.

The largest decline was recorded for Great Yarmouth, from 238.6 to 107.7.

Luton currently has the highest rate: 293.4, up from 266.6.


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