Coronavirus vaccine poll numbers are mostly good news

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It is from mid-September when only 50% said they would get vaccinated.

A vaccine, however, is not worth much if Americans don’t get it. A look at the trend in coronavirus vaccine polls and its history suggests that this is, again, good news when it comes to people willing to get it.

As Gallup data shows, people are more willing to get the vaccine than they were a few months ago. We see a similar trend in the data from the Axios / Ipsos survey. In a slightly different question, 45% of Americans say they are likely to be immediately vaccinated as soon as possible. This is an increase of 38% in September.

When you dig deeper, you see that a lot of the worry with a vaccine has to do with safety and effectiveness. In the Axios / Ipsos poll, 68% of Americans said they would likely receive the vaccine if it was proven safe and effective by public health officials. Among the 42% of Americans who said they would not take the vaccination in the Gallup poll, 63% cited a rushed schedule or waiting to see if it was safe as the reason.

In other words, many people just want to know that the vaccine is safe and effective. If this is the case, the percentage of people wishing to be vaccinated is likely to increase.

Only the latest news on Pfizer and Moderna vaccines could increase the percentage of people willing to be vaccinated.

In the Axios / Ipsos poll conducted before Moderna released its first results and after Pfizer’s initial findings (but before releasing more details and seeking emergency clearance), 61% of Americans said they would take the vaccine if the drug companies told them was at least 90% effective. This compared to the 45% of reference who said they would be immediately vaccinated without knowing more information in the same survey. Both companies have now said their vaccines are 94.5% and 95% effective.

If 70% of the population received the vaccine, it could be huge to beat the virus. A vaccine that covers 65% to 70% of the population is likely to give us the immunity of the population through vaccination, according to the World Health Organization.

A look at public opinion as Jonas Salk’s polio vaccine was tested points to more potential good news. In an almost identical finding to Gallup’s latest coronavirus poll, 60% of those who had heard of the polio vaccine told Gallup in May 1954 that they would take it. A similar percentage said their children had it.

Once the vaccine was found to be effective, the necessary number of Americans received the vaccine.

The polio vaccine ended up being one of the most successful immunization programs in world history. In just a few years, the number of new cases per year has risen from 15,000 to 100. America has been able to eliminate what was once one of the worst epidemics in its history, and no case has appeared in the country since. over 40 years.

Now we obviously don’t know how the coronavirus vaccines will turn out. History is only a guide.

Perhaps the most important variable to watch for over the next few months is a partisan divide over coronavirus vaccinations. Right now, there aren’t many. In the Gallup poll, 69% of Democrats and 49% of Republicans said they would get the coronavirus vaccine if there was an FDA-approved vaccine available now at no cost. We’re getting closer to the 90-point spreads on how Democrats and Republicans vote for president.

Hopefully, vaccine uptake is bipartisan when the vaccine hits the market. Many lives could depend on it.

That’s why it’s so important for Democratic and Republican leaders to back scientists if they say a vaccination is safe.

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