British Columbia On Track To See 1,000 New COVID-19 Cases A Day If Changes Are Not Made: Modeling Numbers


British Columbia could see more than 1,000 new cases of COVID-19 every day over the next two weeks if people don’t reduce contact now.In the latest modeling numbers, provincial health administrator Dr Bonnie Henry said COVID-19 cases are expected to double over the next 13 days without significant change in people’s behavior.

Growth of the virus continues to be worst at Fraser Health, followed by Vancouver Coastal Health. Other health authorities continue to have moderate growth or spread of the virus.

The city of Surrey has been hardest hit by the virus with 3,993 cases of COVID-19 in the city since the spread began.

There have been 3,435 cases of the virus in the city of Vancouver.

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There has been a recent increase in the number of cases of people over the age of 80, according to modeling figures, who are most at risk of dying from the virus.

There are now 35 per 100,000 British Columbians in this age group with the virus. Just four weeks ago, the rate was below 10 in 100,000.

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Hospitalizations have also increased, quadrupling since the beginning of September. There are now more people hospitalized with the virus than at the peak in early April.

Thursday’s modeling update was the first since the start of October.

Click to play the video 'Dr.  Bonnie Henry to unveil latest modeling showings on Thursday

Dr Bonnie Henry to unveil latest modeling showings on Thursday

Dr Bonnie Henry to unveil latest modeling showings on Thursday

Henry said this recently released data would support the decision to implement new regional measures to crack down on social gatherings in Metro Vancouver.

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“Over the past two weeks we’ve started to see rapidly increasing growth, so more exponential growth, particularly concentrated in the Vancouver Coastal-Fraser health regions,” Henry said on Saturday during the news announcement. measures.

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“This is why we are taking these additional steps to combat this rapid transmission and the rapid increase in the number of people affected here in this region.

Henry says no one under the age of 20 has been sent to intensive care with the virus. Most school-aged children with symptoms of the virus do not carry the virus. Only 1.7% of children tested for the virus are positive.

The province presented for the first time data on the spread of the virus in the school system. As of November 5, there had been 261 school exhibitions in 1,942 schools in British Columbia. Nine of ten schools in British Columbia were not exposed. The figures relate to pupils and adults in the school system.

“There has been very little transmission in school settings,” Henry said.

“There have been less than a dozen transmission incidents in the school system. What this tells us are the measures we have put in place to eliminate sick people, it works.

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