The Villages, a large resort for those over 55 in Florida, is large enough to be considered its own city. It is also one of the fastest growing countries in the United States, with over 100,000 residents.
In 2016, American retirees helped propel Mr. Trump to electoral victory. It is estimated that a quarter of the country’s voters are over 65 this time.
So news footage of people in 500 golf carts parading through villages, heading to cast their ballots for Joe Biden, would have been an alarming watch at the Trump campaign headquarters.
Pollsters say Mr. Trump’s handling of the coronavirus, a disease that threatens more than most seniors, has led to a decline in support for him among older voters. How can the president protect them from them when he cannot even protect himself, they ask?
It’s no surprise, then, that the president’s first campaign event after COVID-19 is taking place in Florida.
Authorized to resume the campaign in person by his doctor, the president will organize the Make America Great Again rally in Orlando, which he was forced to cancel when he was admitted to hospital.
In recent days, Mr. Trump has been energetic, almost euphoric upon his recovery, and with a real urgency to step out and campaign.
:: Subscribe to Divided States on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify and Spreaker
After Florida on Monday, he will hold rallies in Pennsylvania on Tuesday and in Iowa on Wednesday. Shifting from senior voting to the blue collar rust belt and rural Midwest, the shape of his campaign is dictated by the picture the polls paint.
Mr. Trump won Florida by 100,000 out of 9 million votes in 2016. The polls show a close race this time around.
Mr. Trump won Pennsylvania by less than 50,000 in 2016 and the polls are now winning Mr. Biden.
In Iowa, a state Mr. Trump won by 10 percentage points in 2016, he is neck and neck with Mr. Biden.
The national ballot looks increasingly gloomy for Mr. Trump, but if 2016 has taught us anything, it’s that polls can’t necessarily be reliable on election day. It is these swing states that will be decisive.
Mr Trump says he sees a series of different opinion polls, the ones that show it, and that he feels the momentum behind him this time around is even greater than four years ago.
It is a pivotal week. Mr. Trump’s choice for the Supreme Court, Amy Coney Barrett, begins the confirmation process on Capitol Hill, an important and controversial time for America.
There are only three weeks left until Election Day, but the moment of truth has already arrived. Americans vote early by the hundreds of thousands. The verdict of many on Mr. Trump’s presidency has already been delivered.