The latest set of projections, released on October 9, predicted the number of national cases to climb to 197,830 on October 17, with as many as 9,800 deaths. The announcement came a day after the country recorded a record 2,400 new cases.
WATCH: Health officials reveal latest federal modeling on COVID-19
National figures have since exceeded these projections. At 11:20 a.m. ET as of Friday, Canada had 230,547 confirmed or suspected cases of the coronavirus, of which 27,289 were active. Provinces and territories have listed 193,158 as recovered or resolved. A CBC News death tally based on provincial reports, regional health news and CBC reporting was 10,100.
Although the number of hospitalizations and deaths has increased recently, they have done so at a slower rate than during the first phase of the pandemic.