Coronavirus Watchlist: 7 Areas That Could Next Face Level 3 Lockdown

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Seven areas could then be plunged into level 3 coronavirus lockdown, according to a new analysis.The ZOE COVID Symptom Study UK initially predicted 10 areas that could be the next to move to the ‘very high’ level of government.

Last night it was announced that West Yorkshire will be upgraded to Level 3 on Monday, including Bradford, Leeds and Calderdale – meaning seven areas are still at risk.

These include Sunderland, Newcastle upon Tyne, South Tyneside, Erewash, Stoke-on-Trent, Wolverhampton and County Durham.

This means more than 11 million people will be living under the tightest restrictions in England by Monday.

In a joint statement last night, West Yorkshire council leaders said the region was at a ‘critical time’ as the NHS now began to struggle to provide essential care.

The government has offered the region £ 59.3million to help it get through the lockdown.



A map published by researchers

Figures from the ZOE COVID Symptom Study UK Infection Survey are based on around one million weekly reporters and the proportion of newly symptomatic users who have positive swab tests.

The latest survey figures were based on data from 12,390 recent swab tests performed between October 11 and October 25.

Key findings include that there are currently 43,569 new daily symptomatic cases of coronavirus in the UK on average in the two weeks through October 25 (excluding nursing homes).

This compares to 36,251 new symptomatic cases daily a week ago.

Rates in the north of England are still around four times higher than in the south of England, although the gap is narrowing, according to the study.

He adds that in Scotland cases are potentially stabilizing.



Bradford will upgrade to level 3 (file photo)



A graphic to support the study

London rates continue to climb in a linear and steady fashion, according to reports.

Other results also indicate that the doubling rate of cases is currently 28 days and that infections Nationally, the number of children has stopped increasing and the increase is still fastest among those aged 30-59, with only gradual increases among those over 60.

Tim Spector, Professor of Genetic Epidemiology at King’s College London, said: ‘As cases continue to rise across the UK we want to reassure people that the cases have not gotten out of hand, as was recently reported in other surveys.



Newcastle city center (archive photo)

“We are still seeing a steady increase nationally, doubling every four weeks, with the possible exception of Scotland which may show signs of slowing down.

“With one million people reporting each week, we have the largest national survey and our estimates are consistent with the ONS survey.

“The data on Covid-19 can be confusing to the public and we cannot simply rely on confirmed cases or daily deaths, without putting them in context.



Daily cases of the study

“Hospital admissions are increasing as expected, but deaths are still average for the season.

“As we become citizen scientists, it’s important to look at multiple sources to get the bigger picture. Trends may be different locally and our app allows users to monitor them themselves. ”

Top 10 Areas of Watchlist Study

1 Bradford (since confirmed, will upgrade to level 3 on Monday)
2 Leeds (since confirmed, will upgrade to level 3 on Monday)
3 Sunderland
4 Newcastle upon Tyne
5 South Tyneside
6 Erewash
sept Stoke-on-Trent
8 Calderdale (since confirmed, will upgrade to level 3 on Monday)
9 Wolverhampton
dix County Durham

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