Charissa Frangione, 34, a small business owner and member of Marcus City Council in Iowa, voted for Mr. Trump four years ago, but said she has soured it ever since. In 2016, “I was just wondering, who better to bring order to the economy than a businessman?” she said.
“Unfortunately, I just didn’t feel like he lived up to my expectations as president,” Ms. Frangione said. “Even the good things he does are won over by his behavior. She has already voted by mail for Mr. Biden.
Unlike Hillary Clinton, who was as unpopular as Mr. Trump in the polls leading up to the 2016 election, Mr. Biden is not as polarizing a figure as the president: less than half of poll respondents viewed him unfavorably. And while 47% of independent voters had a very negative view of Mr. Trump, only 27% of independents felt the same animism towards Mr. Biden.
While Mr. Biden ultimately doesn’t need Iowa’s six electoral votes to claim the presidency, the state could prove more crucial in the battle for the Senate. If Mr. Biden were elected, Democrats would have to win three seats to take control of the chamber. And few Senate races seem as contested as that in Iowa, where outside groups saturate state airwaves on behalf of both candidates.
Ms Ernst was one of the winners in the 2014 midterm election, memorably running an ad reminiscent of her young days castrating pigs and promising to cut pork in Washington. But she has been vulnerable this year.
She clearly suffers from Mr. Trump’s division, as her deficits among women and white college-educated voters make clear, but she does not enjoy the President’s intensity of support from Republicans across the country. Iowa. While 73 percent of them have a very favorable view of Mr. Trump, only 57 percent think the same about Ms. Ernst.