A poll conducted by Ipsos exclusively for Global News asked 1,000 Canadians over the age of 18 to comment on questions asked about the size of the federal deficit, new spending and the prospect of an election amid the pandemic of coronavirus in progress.
The margin of error is less than 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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According to the responses, 55% said the deficit was too large. This represents a 12 point increase from May, and Canadians seem to be equally divided on whether plans to increase the deficit should justify an election: 50% said yes, while 50% said no .
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But one area that Canadians seem to agree on is the need for a clear plan to limit spending.
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While 78% say they want to see a plan to return to balanced budgets in order to consider voting for a party in the next election, that number has remained high among undecided and even Liberal voters.
Among undecided voters, 83% said a plan to return to balanced budgets is a prerequisite to their scrutiny of the vote. That number rises to 71%. 100 among determined Liberal supporters.
And while 57% of respondents said they were willing to give Prime Minister Justin Trudeau a blank check to spend as much as he deems necessary to fight the pandemic, that’s a 12% drop from those who said the same thing earlier. during this year.
“Canadians are worried about the size of the deficit not just now, but also as they start to think about a potential new election,” said Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos.
“It’s something they want all parties to deal with. And quite frankly, you know, you can’t spend a generation or two talking to Canadians that deficits are a bad thing for them, all of a sudden, reverse them and start to think it’s a good thing. thing. ”
He suggested that tolerance for deficit spending has shown that Canadians understand and support the need to spend in emergencies and on programs that will help people weather the immediate storm. But this support does not necessarily extend to larger spending that is not directly related to the crisis.
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“All Canadians view current federal spending as real emergency aid,” he said. “There is a lot of tolerance for that right now. But other than that, we don’t really see much enthusiasm for other big spending. “
However, there seems to be little unanimity on whether Canadians really want to be sent to the polls right now and the results here largely support the parties: 77% of Conservative voters want an election this fall. , against 59% of the Quebec Bloc Electors and 53% of NDP supporters.
Only 33 p. Eighty percent of Liberal voters want an election this fall.
Canada’s coronavirus deficit climbs to $ 343 billion as federal government warns of ‘permanent change’ in economy
The Liberals are expected to deliver a Speech from the Throne on Wednesday that will outline their vision for the recovery of the coronavirus as the country shifts from an emergency response to a long-term installation.
It is still unclear when or if an effective vaccine can be developed and in the meantime, cases continue to skyrocket across the country, even as numbers rise globally.
As a minority government, the Liberals will need the support of at least one other party in the confidence vote on their Speech from the Throne.
Trudeau has promised he will include an “ambitious” green agenda, though how much he plans to spend remains uncertain at this time.
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A budget snapshot presented in July forecast a deficit of $ 343 billion for that fiscal year.
Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux has warned that the level of deficit is unsustainable if it continues for more than a year or two.
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This Ipsos survey was carried out from September 11 to 14, 2020 on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,000 Canadians aged 18 and over was interviewed online. Quotas and weighting were used to ensure that the composition of the sample reflects that of the Canadian population according to census parameters. The accuracy of Ipsos online surveys is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, if all Canadians aged 18 and over had been polled.
© 2020 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.