After conceding 18-1 Friday against the New York Mets, the Blue Jays rebounded to win by scores of 3-2 and 7-3 on Saturday and Sunday, respectively. They haven’t lost a streak in a month.
By the dawn of the weekend, Toronto had become the fifth seed in the AHL playoff standings – and that’s where they stay Monday morning.
The New York Yankees are on the tail (barely half a game behind) and will have plenty of time to catch up. The Blue Jays are playing seven of their last 14 games against the Yankees, starting with a three-game set that begins Tuesday in Buffalo.
If the playoffs started today
The top two teams from each division will advance to the playoffs with the next top two teams from each league for a total of 16 playoff spots. These 16 teams will then face off in the best eight of the three series leading up to the League Division Series.
If the post-season started today, these eight American League teams would qualify:
N ° 1 des White Sox de Chicago vs N ° 8 Indians de Cleveland
# 2 Tampa Bay Rays vs # 7 New York Yankees
N ° 3 Oakland Athletics vs N ° 6 Houston Astros
No.4 Minnesota Twins vs. No.5 Toronto Blue Jays
And these eight National League teams would qualify:
No.1 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. No.8 San Francisco Giants
# 2 Atlanta Braves vs. 7 Philadelphia Phillies
# 3 Chicago Cubs vs. # 6 St. Louis Cardinals
N ° 4 San Diego Padres vs. No. 5 Miami Marlins
How Ranking Works in 2020: According to MLB, the top three seeds in each league are awarded to the three division winners in ranking order. The next three seeds go to the three teams that finish second in their division, in order of record. The last two seeds will go to the two teams with the next best records, regardless of the division.
6 games out of .500
2nd AL East
Good night, #BlueJays fans! pic.twitter.com/7MMqbZaD0g
– Blue Jays de Toronto (@BlueJays) 14 septembre 2020
Within striking distance
On the AL side, the only drama likely to play out in the final two weeks of the regular season is the reshuffle of pre-existing playoff seeds. The Yankees and Indians are both 4.5 games ahead of the next closest wildcard contender, the Seattle Mariners, who have won seven out of 10 games but remain four games south of 0.500. After the Mariners, the Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles – who were selected first and second in the June draft – have both lost 5.5 games.
The National League has more potential to bite their nails in the home stretch. The Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers are both two games short of the eight-seeded Giants, while the Mets and Cincinnati Reds are 2.5 games behind. None of these teams are particularly hot right now, as the Rockies, Brewers and Mets have all lost back-to-back games. The Reds, meanwhile, won on Sunday but have lost four of their last seven games.
Playoff Odds Report
No matter where you look, Toronto is in the ’90s percentile to reach the playoffs. So let’s turn our attention instead to the division race, where the Blue Jays and Yankees are expected to fight for second place AL East.
Here are the division odds, according to FanGraphs and FiveThirtyEight:
Cotes des FanGraphs des Blue Jays: 2.2% | Cotes FiveThirtyEight des Blue Jays: 2%
Yankees FanGraphs Odds: 4.9% | Yankees FiveThirtyEight Odds: 4%
Rates FanGraphs Cotes: 93.0% | Quotes FiveThirtyEight by Rays: 94%
Second division place
Cotes des FanGraphs des Blue Jays: 36.9% | Cotes FiveThirtyEight des Blue Jays: N / A
Yankees FanGraphs Quotes: 56.3% | Quotes FiveThirtyEight of the Yankees: N / A
Rotes FanGraphs Cotes: 6.7% | Cotes FiveThirtyEight de Rays: N / A
After Monday’s rest day, the Blue Jays embark on a three-game home streak against the Yankees at Sahlen Field. Taijuan Walker, with a scintillating 1.15 ERA in three starts since Toronto acquired him, starts off against Yankees rookie Deivi Garcia. In his only start against the Blue Jays, Garcia, 21, took the win with two runs allowed in seven innings.