Is the latest wave of COVID-19 cases a sign of second wave?


It comes as Waterloo Region and Ontario see new numbers of COVID-19 cases not seen for several weeks

A second wave of COVID-19 is inevitable, but until we get deep into it, we won’t even know it.That’s the sentiment of Raywat Deonandan, epidemiologist and associate professor at the University of Ottawa, who spoke to the Mike Farwell Show on 570 NEWS on Friday morning.

“This is, unfortunately, the nature of this game,” he said. “We never really know until it’s over. ”

He said there was no fixed definition of what a “wave” was, other than watching it by looking at the statistics.

“We saw that the new number of new cases per day rose steadily throughout the first part of this year, then peaked, then declined in June and July,” he said.

“We like to think that we’re at the bottom, or at the end of a first wave-like thing, and we’re about to start a second wave-like thing. ”

Deonandan said every flu pandemic since the Spanish flu in the late 1910s looked like a wave, but pointed out that when it comes to COVID-19, some countries are still facing a first wave, calling it a wave. “Dependent on the region”.

“There is no universal rule on this subject, it all depends on human behavior,” he added.

He goes on to say that it’s not an influenza virus that behaves a little differently, pointing out that with SARS most of the spread of the virus happened after people developed symptoms.

For COVID-19, the nature of its asymptomatic spread poses some problems.

“We also know that the big problem with population-level control is identifying and suppressing super-spread events,” Deonandan noted.

“If we can get these things out of society, we have a good chance of preventing major epidemics. ”

And mentioning the human behavior that dictates the future of this pandemic, he said we can control it by following public health guidelines.

“It’s a very mysterious thing, and not the same as the flu, of course,” Deonandan added.

“But I feel like we’re going to get a feel for this issue soon, given that the global press across our entire bioscience industry is focused on this thing, in a way we never have. seen before in the history of mankind. “


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