The city, the mayor said, now has 80 positive tests per 100,000 population – and on Friday all of Merseyside was added to the government’s watch list for areas of concern.
This is not only baffling for everyone in the city, but the rate is actually higher than in some areas already under special measures.
Liverpool may have already escaped the additional social distancing restrictions imposed on much of the North West, including Greater Manchester, but figures suggest that a Merseyside lockdown would have simply been delayed rather than warned.
So, is it a case of if, not when, Liverpool go into lockdown again? Every city is different, but here’s what we know based on what Liverpool leaders have said and what has happened elsewhere in the country.
“We could face a city lockdown”
In his tweet, Mayor Anderson warned: “Liverpool has now reached the level of 80 per 100,000 people who test positive for Covid-19. With the R rate approaching 1.3%.
“An increase of 100 people over the past 24 hours total now to 410. Real worry and worry that if we don’t take all of this seriously we could face a city lockdown. ”
Other Liverpool executives have also urged people to start behaving like there are tighter restrictions.
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Liverpool Public Health Chief Matt Ashton tweeted: ‘It makes a lot of sense to me from what we are seeing locally to avoid indoor parties and only go to bars and restaurants that service your health as much as they mind their business. ”
The “rule of six” arrives across England on Monday, meaning people cannot meet more than six people at a social gathering, inside or outside their homes.
The Merseyside Police Chief has warned people not to “treat this weekend as the last-ditch saloon” before Monday’s new Covid-19 restrictions take effect.
When interlocks have been triggered in other locations
Other areas that have had local lockdowns have in some cases had a lower coronavirus rate than Liverpool, and the restrictions introduced have been different from place to place.
What is clear is that the announcement of a local lockdown may take people by surprise – as it did in Greater Manchester, when Health Secretary Matt Hancock made the announcement affecting much of the Northwest at night on Twitter with just a few hours’ notice. .
Manchester’s infection rate on July 29 was 30.7 cases per 100,000 people – lower than Liverpool’s rate today.
A separate lockdown at Caerphilly in Wales was also put in place at short notice earlier this week. At the time, there were 55.4 cases per 100,000 people – again, less than the current rate in Liverpool.
In both cases, leaders said they were responding to a sharp increase in cases (in Manchester the rate had nearly doubled from the previous week). In Liverpool, cases have risen sharply since the start of September, although they have declined slightly from the peak on September 7. This is the biggest increase since April at the start of the crisis.
In other words, some sort of lockdown seems inevitable unless people have already changed their behavior in accordance with the warning from city leaders.
What a local lock might look like
If Liverpool announce a city-wide lockdown, it is likely to be in partnership with the UK government. Lockdowns so far have attempted to keep schools and businesses open as much as possible, and have mainly cracked down on home gatherings.
The North West lockdown – which also covered towns in the North West like Blackburn, Burnley and Bradford as well as Greater Manchester – made it illegal to meet people from other households at home or in your garden, although two households can meet in a public space and support bubbles. were exempt.
In Caerphilly, the Welsh government has restricted access to the entire borough without a ‘reasonable excuse’ and people can only meet outside as the government believes the virus is spreading in homes .
The Liverpool Council has also shown its willingness to prevent people from meeting at home, when it imposed a local lockdown on the Princes Park neighborhood, prohibiting friends or family from spending the night in another household.
How a lockdown could be announced
The UK government is likely to announce a formal lockdown, most likely through Health Secretary Matt Hancock along with Mayor Anderson.
For now, the mayor has only warned that a lockdown is possible, but as the numbers suggest, that could change quickly.