Greece’s strategic alliance with France is a game-changer in the Mediterranean


Although it is too early to start celebrating, for the first time in its history, Greece seems to have the opportunity to forge a strategic alliance of equality, with unprecedented momentum. Alliance with a pan-European and global force, France.And we say this for the first time, because in the past alliances with great powers, like Britain and France, were lions given the difference in geopolitical potential between them and Greece. On the contrary, today’s France, which of course does not have the status it had a few decades ago, is within Greece’s means to enter into a relatively equal relationship with her. In addition, France’s geopolitical downsizing, alongside Turkey’s intended expansionism, makes it the latest strategic threat to Paris.

In particular, France seems to understand that if Turkey manages to satellite Greece and the Republic of Cyprus, as are its clear intentions, then it will put Israel and Egypt under a suffocating blockade. It will lead these two Mediterranean countries to a reluctant but forced cooperation with Ankara, which will thus become the undisputed leader of the Eastern Mediterranean.

It will be a big blow for France. But Turkey is not at all sure it will stop there. Turkey’s intervention in Libya has shown that it has broader ambitions. Thus, it could conclude a strategic alliance with Algeria, causing even more problems in Paris. The latter is a traditional rival of the French and has one of the largest ongoing weapons programs on the planet. He buys a huge bundle of weapons from Russia, which includes, among others, S-400 and Pantsir S1 air defense systems, Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jets, Kilo submarines and more.

He also appears to be the first customer (outside of Russia) for Russian fifth-generation stealth fighter Sukhoi Su-57, which has yet to be confirmed. It is worth noting that Algeria is also a competitor of Egypt, especially for who will control the broken Libya. Egypt, as we know, is also an opponent of Turkey. Thus, a Turkish-Algerian alliance would place Egypt under a suffocating siege, so it is more likely to emerge.

Where is France aiming?

In this case, France risks losing its maritime geopolitical support that is the Mediterranean. Such a development would be destructive for France. Among other things, it would be cut off from Africa, where it has a strong presence and important geopolitical interests. The bridge that connects France to Africa is the Mediterranean. If it loses control, it also loses Africa, which allows it to continue to emerge as a world power. In other words, if it loses the Mediterranean, France loses the last vestiges of its imperial identity.

This means that it will become a mid-sized European state, a Europe that is increasingly becoming a place of German hegemony. So France is going to be put on an addiction course in Berlin and it’s a fate worse than death. Consequently, Paris seems to understand that to avoid this domino of developments, it must resolutely support Greece. And that’s what he’s starting to do. Or at least we have some initial indications that France intends to do so.

This is of course the “defensive” dimension of the French “philhellenic” position. “Aggressive” may be France’s attempt to assert itself as the dominant power in Europe and as one of the most important forces of the current multipolar international system. Paris seems to understand that NATO’s “brain death” and the EU’s stripping away create a power vacuum that calls on France to fill it. Because if it doesn’t, Germany will.

The “little NATO”

At the same time, this gap appears to be widening due to the internal crisis in the United States. A crisis that is not certain to end with the presidential election. It’s likely to intensify, whoever wins. France must therefore show who is the very big European player in the field of geostrategic play, by moving away from the economic level, where Berlin dominates.

As part of this strategy, it seems he wants to form a “small NATO” and a “small EU”, forging strategic alliances with critical European countries, the most important of which is Greece. To be precise, the system of the two Hellenic states, Greece and the Republic of Cyprus. A close alliance with the two state components of Hellenism creates a geopolitical composition which far exceeds their mere sum. It provides Paris with the necessary geopolitical base to build its dominant role in the international multipolar system of the third decade of the 21st century.

Under these conditions, this alliance offers enormous potential for Greece, which goes beyond the suppression of Turkish imperialism. Among other things, such an alliance would redefine Greece’s relations with the EU and act as a liberator against the German financial occupation. Finally, it would offer an enormous geopolitical capital to Hellenism to negotiate, under new conditions, its relations with the United States (when and if Washington recalls that it must have a structured global strategy), but also with Russia, China and other important countries in the international system.

The Greek ruling elites

Of course, it’s too early to celebrate. Yes, all of the above are based on actual data, but so far they have not been confirmed to be valid. We cannot be sure of the intentions of the French. For example, they may simply want to carry out a massive sale of French arms to Greece and this prospect of a strategic alliance is simply part of French marketing.

The scary thing is that while what has been said above is true, there is no guarantee that they will delight Greece’s ruling elites. This is because they have learned to operate within a foreign power and not to plan strategies based on national interests. Moreover, it means that they will have to stand up against Ankara and risk a clash with the Turkish war machine.

Apparently, the pursuit of Greek elites is not resistance. It is a dialogue aimed at a “compromise” by the “reasonable” concession of national sovereign rights. The prospect of a Greece, which will aim for a strategic victory over Turkey and emerge as a strong power in the Eastern Mediterranean and an important factor in Europe, seems to surpass them.

The duty of government

In order to proceed with the implementation of such a strategy, the Greek elites must “disobey” Berlin and Washington. And that scares them. Of course, any reaction, especially from the United States, is unlikely to be very strong. Indeed, France is part of the hard core of the West, so that a Franco-Greek strategic alliance will be a basis of strength for the wider Western strategy in an international system, where Eurasia is increasingly rallying more to the Eurocentric West.

It takes a little moral courage and a fundamental initiative of the Greek elites to conclude an alliance with France. The ruling elites of Malta or Nauru would have had this courage, but it is by no means certain that the Greek power system as a whole possesses it.

It behooves the government to seriously consider whether the prospect of a long-term, close Greco-French alliance that would change the situation on the Greco-Turkish front, but also in Europe, really applies. If this perspective is truly realistic, then it must move forward quickly. And then hope will be reborn for Greece.

The views expressed by author, Associate Professor Costas Grivas on SLPress do not necessarily reflect those of the Greek City Times.


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