In the UK, Professor Sunetra Gupta (Theoretical Epidemiologist at the University of Oxford), Professor Carl Heneghan (Director of the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford), Professor Karol Sikora (consultant oncologist at Buckingham University) and Sam Williams (director and co-founder of consultancy firm Economic Insight) urged adoption of the strategy in a letter to the viewer this week.
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Boris Johnson has learned that collective immunity in UK will not work
Professor Anders Tegnell orchestrated Sweden’s strategy
The first Independent Sage report said: “A deliberate strategy to increase the level of immunity of the population by allowing or encouraging people at low risk of hospitalization or death to be infected is not only unlikely to succeed. ” achieve the desired goal of population immunity, but risk a significant amount of preventable death and disease, without protecting the economy. ”
Current evidence suggests that the duration of immunity conferred by an episode of COVID-19 will likely last less than a year, the newspaper warned.
He explained, “In addition, guaranteed protection of vulnerable groups is unachievable and there would be substantial mortality and morbidity even among the ‘non-vulnerable’.
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Professor Karol Sikora is among those calling for a change in approach
“It would also increase health and social inequalities, as the most disadvantaged groups, especially the elderly, the poor and ethnic minority groups, are disproportionately affected. ”
With the treatment of COVID-19 constantly improving, delaying the infection of as many people as possible for as long as possible would save lives and health problems, the report said.
He added: “Other countries have shown that infection rates can be suppressed without very damaging ‘lock-in’ using established infection control procedures, including excellent contact tracing followed by sustained isolation. ”
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Children’s author Michael Rosen attended the briefing
The second paper, titled A Closer Look at Sweden’s Response to COVID-19, read: “Sweden is often used as an example of a country where a population immunity strategy works, without lockdown.
“Its leading public health expert, Anders Tegnell himself, said: ‘Every country has to achieve’ collective immunity ‘one way or another, and we are going to achieve it in a different way.
“However, firstly, the idea that Sweden has no restrictions or lockdowns is a misconception and secondly, the claim that its strategy is successful is far from clear. “
UK coronavirus figures from Thursday
Swedes have been asked to work from home if possible until the end of the year, while with a few exceptions travel from outside the EU is banned until November.
Visiting nursing homes was also banned from April to October 2020 and there is also a permanent ban on gathering more than 50 people (liable to a significant fine or imprisonment).
The document concludes: “There is not much to think in this graph that Sweden’s strategy is better than its Nordic neighbors (especially Norway and Finland) and many suggest that it is worse with less. much greater disease burden in spring and summer.
Boris Johnson himself was treated in intensive care for COVID-19
“While it is certainly possible that winter will turn out very differently for Sweden compared to other countries, it is far too early to know. ”
We have to recognize that the UK is not Sweden – and what works there may not work here for the reasons outlined above. ”
Children’s author Michael Rosen, who spent 47 days in intensive care after contracting COVID-19 in early May, was among the guests at Friday’s virtual meeting.