Coronavirus could get WEAKER, experts say as infections rise, but deaths remain low

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COVID-19 spreading lower doses reduces the number of deaths and hospital admissions, but the daily number of cases is high, experts say.

Due to social distancing rules, infected people can only transmit less concentrated traces of the virus, reducing the “infectious dose”.

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The number of cases from March to September
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Virus may be weaker due to social distancing rulesCrédits: Getty Images – Getty
Experts believe Covid-18 could spread at lower doses, which means lower death toll

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Experts believe Covid-18 could spread at lower doses, which means lower death toll

This means that the newly infected person would have a smaller infection, so the virus would not have such severe effects – similar to chickenpox.

Doctors, however, make it very clear that the virus is not well enough known at this time to determine if it is dose dependent.

But this has been the case with other viruses, most notably SARS and MERS.

In the first week of July, the number of Covid-19 infections was 550 per day in the UK.

At this point, around 150 patients were hospitalized each day.

Since July, the number of new infections has increased, with 1,500 people testing positive last week.

But the death rate of hospitalized patients did the opposite and fell.

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As of Friday, there were a total of 51 deaths that week.

Currently, around 450 hospital patients in England are battling the virus, well below 17,000 during the peak of the crisis in April.

Earlier this year there were 485 people on ventilators in hospitals in the NHS Midlands region – it’s now seven people.

Dr Elisabetta Groppelli, virologist at St George’s University in London, said: “If you are exposed to a smaller amount of the virus, fewer cells in your body are infected, so it is time for your immune system to respond. .

The death toll remains low

“If you have a lot of infected cells at once, you’re already starting on the back foot.

“There is no particularly strong data for Covid-19 at the moment, but it makes sense. ”

Many comparisons have been drawn between Covid-19 and the Spanish influenza pandemic of 1918.

A dose-dependent theory would also offer an explanation for what happened then.

Dr Groppelli added: “Age and other illnesses play a huge role.

“But if I were to get infected with this coronavirus, I would like to have the smallest dose possible, as it would mean a greater chance for my body to control the infection.

Professor Wendy Barclay, who heads the infectious diseases department at Imperial College London, added: “It all depends on the size of the armies on either side of the battle,” she said.

It comes as the rules for passengers arriving in the UK could be reduced to eight days amid warnings that the 14-day rule is ‘strangling’ the economy.

If I were to get infected with this coronavirus, I would like the smallest dose possible, as it would mean a greater chance for my body to control the infection.

Dr Elisabetta Groppelli

It comes as businesses and MPs have warned Boris Johnson of the colossal damage done to the travel industry by politics.

The Mail on Sunday reports that officials are considering the possibility of testing people for the virus eight days after arriving in the country.

However, government sources pointed out to the document that no decision has yet been made.

Foreign Minister Dominic Raab also told the BBC’s “Andrew Marr Show” this morning that a testing policy for inbound travelers was “under review”.

However, he stressed that testing it was “not a quick fix” – and would help “ease” the quarantine without completely eliminating the need for it.

Boris Johnson also reportedly told Conservative MPs of his hopes for an ‘infectivity test’ earlier this week that would reveal patients who had tested positive for the virus but would not pass it on to others.

Plans for an “infectivity test” were revealed at a 1922 Committee meeting, with one participant noting that “we have been led to believe that rapid tests are being carried out”.

A swift and effective testing regime could help the government drop restrictions like general quarantine measures and look at ways to help reopen other industries.

Experts say the conclusion is not solid yet, but logical

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Experts say the conclusion is not solid yet, but logicalCrédit: SWNS: South West News Service



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