BC health officials warn continued behavior will lead to ‘unstable’ growth of COVID-19 virus


British Columbia health officials are increasingly concerned about the rapid growth in the spread of COVID-19 if British Columbians continue to function at current contact rates.Modeling data presented on Thursday shows new cases of the virus will increase by more than 150 per day if contacts remain at around 70% of normal. If contacts reach 80%, new virus cases increase even more.

“Our model illustrates the importance of reducing transmission in order to ensure control of the epidemic,” the public health presentation read.

“Transmission is reduced by having less infectious contact, by means such as physical distance and masking, where appropriate. “

What the modeling data suggests about COVID-19 cases in schools

What the modeling data suggests about COVID-19 cases in schools

The new data comes as British Columbia struggles to contain the growth of COVID-19 cases. But recent trends show that there has not been a rapid increase in hospitalizations.

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At the end of March and beginning of April, more than 130 people were hospitalized each day with the virus. Right now, although there are more cases of the active virus, there are around 20-30 people in the hospital.

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People who contract the virus continue to change in the province. British Columbians 20 to 29 are leading the way with around 190 of the active cases on August 23. There was a slight drop among those 30 to 39 years old with around 120 cases last August, in a few dozen two weeks earlier.

British Columbia government releases latest coronavirus modeling data

British Columbia Government Releases Latest Coronavirus Modeling Data

Children aged 10 to 19 are also seeing an increase, with more active cases at the end of August in this demographic than among people over 70.

There were more than 40 active cases among 10-19 year olds on August 23.

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The epicenter of the virus is still in the greater Vancouver area. During the week of August 23-29, there were 18.6 cases in 100,000 people in Vancouver Coastal Health. At the same time, there were 15.7 in 100,000 cases at Fraser Health and 1.3 in 100,000 cases at Island Health.

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