The Times / Siena poll also reports that Biden and Trump are tied in Georgia, with 45 percentage points each among the probable voters surveyed, and that Biden holds a 3 point advantage over Trump among the probable voters surveyed in Iowa, 45 to 42%.
Trump won Georgia’s 16 electoral votes by 5.7 percentage points in 2016. Republican presidential candidates have won Georgia in every election since 1992, when Democrat Bill Clinton was victorious.
Iowa is reliably less Republican, supporting a Democratic presidential candidate as recently as 2012 in Barack Obama’s race for re-election. But Trump won all six state election votes by 9.6 percentage points in 2016.
The Senate races in the tri-state, all of which feature vulnerable Republican incumbents fighting for another term, are equally competitive, according to the Times / Siena poll. Any of the competitions could determine whether Democrats regain control of the chamber.
Texas Senator John Cornyn is 6 percentage points ahead of Democratic challenger MJ Hegar, 43 to 37 percent. Georgian Senator David Perdue leads Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff by 3 points, 41-38 percent. And Iowa Senator Joni Ernst is ahead of Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield by 2 points, 40 to 42 percent.
The Times / Siena poll was conducted from September 16 to 22, polling 523 probable voters in Georgia, 501 probable voters in Iowa and 653 probable voters in Texas. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points in Georgia, 4.99 points in Iowa and 4.3 points in Texas.