“We are certainly not in the March-April situation yet, but there is reason to fear that we may get there again,” said Manuel Franco, researcher and professor of epidemiology at the University of Alcalá from Henares.
On Monday, authorities in Madrid placed parts of the capital region back under a lockdown affecting around 850,000 residents. That, along with the resurgence of the virus, has sparked bitter recriminations, with critics claiming the government wasted the hard-won achievements of its first lockdown by opening up the country’s borders to revive its battered tourism industry.
“We didn’t do our homework,” Dr Alberto Garcia-Basteiro, a leading epidemiologist, told Spanish newspaper El País. He and other medics have called for an independent investigation into the country’s response to the pandemic.
In Germany, which has managed the virus better than many of its neighbors, there are concerns about the peak in infections but less hospitalizations. Of the 9,396 people infected with the virus in recent weeks, only 267 required intensive care treatment, just over half of them on ventilators.
“We know so much more than six months ago,” Jens Spahn, Germany’s Minister of Health, told ARD state television, highlighting the increased testing capacity, protective equipment and care beds intensive from Germany.
Britain, like Germany, has made progress in consolidating its National Health Service for another round of battle, but it is far behind Germany in building a national testing and traceability system. On Thursday, he finally launched his struggling smartphone app in England and Wales, which he hopes will allow him to better track the virus.
Chief medical officer Chris Whitty said the number of people hospitalized with the virus in Britain was doubling every seven to eight days and deaths would multiply, “potentially on an exponential curve”. If the virus spreads unchecked, it could lead to 50,000 new cases a day by October and 200 deaths a day by November, according to Patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser.