What there is to know
- New York City has only recorded two confirmed deaths from COVID-19 in the past four days, another sign of progress Gov. Andrew Cuomo said the city – and state – must work hard to maintain
- Slippage from home compliance exacerbates growing national threat; New Jersey is seeing a slight increase in new cases of COVID-19. State transimission rate fell from 0.87 a month ago to 1.48 on Monday
- Nationally, the death toll in the US has exceeded 157,000 and diagnosed COVID cases are approaching 5 million, according to NBC News estimates; latest virus screenings predict up to 7,500 deaths each week over the next 4 weeks
New York City snapped its three-day streak of zero COVID-confirmed deaths on Wednesday, registering one each in Brooklyn and the Bronx, though it continues to see progress from a devastating period in April that cost victims hundreds of lives a day.
Statewide COVID hospitalizations fell to 564, from a high of 20,000 in April, while the daily test positivity rate remains at 1% on a seven-day moving average. All five boroughs have the same low positivity rate, which is one of the lowest in the country and a far cry from the 59% of daily rates seen in April.
Governor Andrew Cuomo marked the grim note of progress with a stern reminder: don’t let go yet.
“Our progress is due to the hard work of New Yorkers – even after two and a half months of reopening, the numbers have continued to drop,” Cuomo said Wednesday. “But we’ve learned from this crisis that no one is safe until everyone is safe, and an epidemic anywhere is an epidemic everywhere. Soaring infection rates across the country threaten this progress, so we must continue to wear our masks, social distances and stay in New York City. Tough. “
Daily percentage of positive tests by New York region
While the whole of New York State is in a phase of reopening, Governor Andrew Cuomo is focusing on daily monitoring test results in each region to identify potential hot spots before they emerge. Here is the latest tracking data by region. For the latest county-wide statewide results, click here
Although Cuomo says the Empire State has defied experts’ expectations, infection rates would rise with the reopening, he fears that “it will only be a matter of time” before New York City faces some sort. viral resurgence. Its goal is to minimize the impact when this happens.
Out-of-state travel from viral hotspots has already helped spawn new clusters in New York and New Jersey. This threat compounds the threat of compliance slippage at the local level. New York’s infection rate has yet to rise because of it – and Cuomo is rampant in the bar and restaurant scene.
The same story of a low and sustained infection rate cannot be told for New York’s neighbor across the river, however. New Jersey is experiencing its highest transmission rates in six weeks as people continue to attend crowded parties at home and flaunt COVID precautions that led to the spread in the first place.
Gov. Phil Murphy had warned New Jersey late last week and took action Monday, lowering the capacity of indoor gatherings from 100 to 25 people. The restrictions remain in effect “until further notice”. Murphy wants to see the transmission rate cut to a lower level on a seven-day moving average.
A month ago, New Jersey’s transmission rate was 0.87. On Tuesday, it was 1.41, which means that one infected person infects nearly another and a half people. Cuomo would call it an epidemic. As he says, an epidemic anywhere is an epidemic everywhere. The New York governor was asked last week about his intention to put New Jersey on the quarantine list, given its recent hike.
Cuomo said he doesn’t see how it could work and is committed to helping New Jersey overcome this bump on the road to recovery.
New York and New Jersey have lost more people to the virus than any other state in the country, but the nationwide death toll is rising rapidly amid the deepening crisis. Florida continues to break its single-day death records. California has also reported new daily highs in mortality in recent weeks.
Nationally, the death toll in the United States has exceeded 157,000 and diagnosed COVID cases are approaching 5 million, according to NBC News estimates.
The latest prediction from an ensemble virus forecasting model projects more than 180,000 total deaths in the United States by the end of August, with up to 7,500 new deaths each week over the next four weeks.