In other words, he knows the numbers.
Which brings me to a series of Reeves’ tweets earlier this week in which he systematically destroyed the argument that everyone should just get Covid-19 now so we can build collective immunity. (The geniuses behind this case theory are some of the same who push kids to throw coronavirus parties so everyone is exposed to them.)
Here’s Reeves’ data-driven argument against this thought – in seven tweets.
1) “Let’s talk about collective immunity. I have heard people say that the rapid spread of cases is a good thing, and we have to achieve collective immunity in Mississippi and elsewhere to survive. I am not an expert in health care by any means, but I am a mathematician. And I have thoughts: “
4) “In the past two weeks, our hospital system has started to become stressed to the point of being painful. We find that the first signs and effects of it are outdated. We had to suspend elective surgeries again. ”
5) “On our worst day of new cases, we had just over 1,000. It usually ranges between 700 and 900 during this most aggressive period. To reach 40% of infections, we would need 3,187 new cases each day for a full period. in a year from today. We would need TRIPLE on our worst day – every day – for a year. ”
6) “I’m not one of those guys who immediately rejects any idea that questions the experts’ talking points about the status quo. I am quite skeptical by nature. It’s clean. But collective immunity is not something like a realistic short-term or mid-term solution. I hope this is the case. ”
7) “Unless you want to do without hospitals after a car accident or a heart attack, we need a different approach. Right now, despite the mixed messages at the start, it looks like masks are the best bet. They are a hell much better than generalized stops. Please wear one! ”
Yeah, all of that.
What Reeves is doing is what we should all be doing – pushing back wild theories about how exaggerated or not so bad coronavirus is with cold hard facts.
The idea that we can all somehow develop collective immunity without significantly overloading the hospital system is a fantasy. Even if you assume – as proponents of the idea of collective immunity do – that many more of us have had a coronavirus (and don’t even know it) than the tests show, you’re still talking about a number of cases requiring hospitalizations that would overwhelm the system in virtually all states.
Rather than looking for a quick fix to get us out of this pandemic – or, as President Donald Trump has done, declaring that the fight is won when it clearly is not, what we need to do is exactly what Reeves recommends: wear a Public mask! Because, contrary to the crackpot theories on herd immunity, the scientific community has concluded that masks help reduce the spread of the virus.
“We are not defenseless against COVID-19,” CDC director Dr. Robert Redfield said on Tuesday. “Cloth face covers are one of the most powerful weapons we have to slow and stop the spread of the virus – especially when it is used universally in a community setting. All Americans have a responsibility to protect themselves, their families and their communities. ”
Reeves is not the only Republican governor to use logic – and data – to help limit the recent outbreaks of the virus. Alabama Governor Kay Ivey (R) announced a statewide mask warrant on Wednesday. “We are almost at the point where our intensive care units in hospitals are overwhelmed,” she said. “My friends, the numbers don’t lie. ”
Unfortunately, not all Republican governors are as reasonable. Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt (R), who resisted the requirement to wear a mask while in his state, announced Wednesday that he had tested positive for Coronavirus, the first governor in the country to do so . “I was quite shocked to be the first governor to get it,” said Stitt.
It shouldn’t be.