Forecast trace for potential tropical cyclone nine.
Here we go again.
Fresh out of the first hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic season, another tropical storm is likely to form this week in the central Atlantic Ocean. This storm, currently located over the central Atlantic, has been designated a potential tropical cyclone by the National Hurricane Center.
A potential tropical cyclone means, in part, that the National Hurricane Center estimates that the storm has a high probability of developing into a tropical cyclone, and that forecast cones, tropical alerts and more can be issued before a cyclone. tropical does not formally develop.
The next storm on the Atlantic hurricane list is Isaias. It would become the ninth named storm of an already hyperactive 2020 Atlantic hurricane season to date.
If Isaias did indeed develop, it would have become the first storm I named ever recorded. The current record for the ninth oldest named storm of the season is Irene, which formed on August 7, 2005.
If you’re wondering how exactly Isaias is pronounced, here’s a detailed guide on how to say it correctly (along with all the other Atlantic storms of 2020.
On Tuesday, the tropical wave was located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands.
Spaghetti models, a suite of computer forecasting models superimposed on a map, show that the storm is likely to gradually turn northward as it moves westward across the Atlantic.
The first impacts of the system on land could be in the Leeward Islands this evening, where heavy rains are expected. Flash floods and life-threatening landslides are possible.
Tropical storm warnings are in place for much of the Caribbean, including the islands of Dominica, Puerto Rico, the US and British Virgin Islands, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Saint Martin, Anguilla and Saint Kitts and Nevis, and the Dominican Republic.
Heavy rains and gusts of wind will spread to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico from Wednesday evening through Thursday.
Most computer forecasting models show the storm slowly turning into a tropical storm this week, although the long-term track is still very uncertain.