There are still hurdles to overcome for the global recovery, with recent reports that branch lines may be on the horizon for the shipping industry and emerging economies are expected to shrink for the first time in sixty years. But as the United States shows signs of greater rebound, governments and central banks around the world will keep their fingers crossed for a V-shaped recovery to be the order of the day. “
China was at zero for the start of the coronavirus crisis, but it also appears to be leading the global recovery. Auto sales data appear to be strengthening, and with some factory levels almost back to pre-pandemic levels, there is real hope that the worst is in the rear view mirror.Its role at the heart of the global economy has made Chinese inflation historically an indicator for other countries. It remains to be seen whether this is still the case in this new environment, where local effects will play a more important role in the basket of goods.