It seems more and more likely, according to the New York Times–travelers from the UNITED states will not be allowed to enter on the 1 July, the EU re-opens its international borders. This is likely to have serious consequences for the French economy but perhaps not as much as the reopening of borders with the united kingdom, in which visitors of France are more numerous than the Americans by 3 to 1.
Two lists to decide who comes in France on the 1st of July
There are apparently two lists of countries whose citizens could be allowed to enter the EU after 1 July. China is at the same time, as it is Vietnam, but the two lists currently exclude the UNITED states because of its high rate of infection of Covid-19. Russia and Brazil are not on the lists.
It seems unlikely that there would be an exception granted to the citizens of the UNITED states, when the lists are viewed as scientific and not political–they were judged on a combination of epidemiological criteria.
The number of new infections in the EU over the past two weeks per 100 000 inhabitants, is 16 years of age; this figure is currently 107 for the UNITED states, 190 for Brazil and 80 for Russia.
It is seen as an example of the way in which the epicenter of the pandemic has moved to the european UNION, in March, the UNITED states, where infection rates continue to be high.
The New York Times described the prospect as “a stinging blow to American prestige… and a repudiation of the President Trump the manipulation of the virus…which has more than 2.3 million cases and the increase in 120 000 deaths, more than any other country.”
A lack of American visitors would be the cause of a large hole
Of the approximately 90 million visits to France every year (pre-pandemic), nearly 8.1 million visitors are citizens of the UNITED states (arrival for business or pleasure).
The number of American visits to France each year often relates to the strength of the dollar against the euro, however, and while the American tourists are often seen as the cornerstone of the French tourist industry, they do not represent the largest group of visitors.
The majority of visitors to France come from the EU
The lion’s share of tourists in France are generally of the EU, which means that France can still count on a large number of visits to his neighbours in the summer of 2020.
In 2018, visitors to the Germany, Luxembourg, Italy, Switzerland, the netherlands and Spain amounted to almost 55% of all tourists from France.
Assuming also that these citizens cannot travel to other countries around the world, as they might have expected, it is possible that many more could travel in France during the second half of the year 2020.
The lack of BRITISH visitors could be more strongly felt
The number one group tour of France is generally visitors from the uk (about 15%) and the borders remain closed between the two countries, it is difficult to know when free travel between the two will be possible. It is likely that the French economy will miss the British more than he would like to admit (and vice versa).
Macron made a lightning visit to London on 18 June, on the occasion of the 80th birthday of former French president Charles de Gaulle calling the French to resist the Nazi occupation during the second world WAR.
According to The World, this was his first visit abroad since the beginning of the pandemic, and it is believed they discussed the uk’s lifting of the 14 days, the quarantine, without which, travel between the two countries may not start.
All EU countries must honour the decision to make it viable
These recommendations of the european UNION are not legally binding and could rely on all 27 member countries to comply with the rules to make it effective. Otherwise, someone from the UNITED states, for example, could enter the EU in one country, can move freely across Europe.
A final decision is expected next week.