He is a crucial figure for health experts and the government in determining cases of coronavirus in a particular area and the likelihood of its spread in that area.
This week, research by Public Health England and Cambridge University revealed that the R number for the north west of England was greater than one – 1.01.
If the number of reproductions is greater than one, the number of cases can increase exponentially.
Analysis indicates: “There is evidence that Rt [the R] has increased in all regions and we believe this is likely due to increased mobility and the mix between households and in the public and professional spheres.
“An increase in Rt will slow the decrease in new infections and deaths.
“There is evidence, according to death forecasts for the whole of England, that an increase in regional reproductive numbers could halt the decline in the national death rate by mid-June. “
Although the research gives a regional breakdown of the rate of transmission of coronaviruses, it does not give a more detailed analysis of each zone of this region.
So, with places like Liverpool and Manchester being the largest cities in the northwest, it may be more difficult to know what the R rate is for Cheshire until research develops.
The news naturally rocked Cheshire and the northwest region, as many are now wondering whether to listen to government advice on easing lock restrictions.
Last night, Cheshire West and the Chester Council released a statement on the gradual return of schools from the area scheduled for Monday, June 8.
You can read this statement here.
Mickle Trafford and St Oswald’s are two schools in Chester that have confirmed they will not reopen to more children as scheduled on Monday.
Sainte-Thérèse in Blacon and Elton Primary also confirmed the closure.
Local closings could take effect in areas with high infection rates, the government said.
Speaking in a daily press briefing on coronavirus, Health Secretary Matt Hancock admitted, “There is a challenge in the North West of England that we need to solve. ”
When asked if the appropriate infrastructure was in place to suppress local areas, Mr. Hancock replied “yes.”
As the data is done by looking at the North West of England as a whole, another lockdown may be in sight for parts of our region.
This is due to the fact that the number of people with coronavirus deaths in the UK has exceeded 40,000, according to figures from the Department of Health and Welfare.