US coronavirus: CDC predicts 130,000 dead by July 4, more cases when states reopen

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And cases of Covid-19 could increase this summer when states reopen, the CDC deputy director for infectious diseases said in a conference call with reporters.

“If anything, we must be too prepared for what we might encounter later this year,” said Dr. Jay Butler. “Getting the flu shot will be more important than ever, because the flu and Covid-19 could be circulating together as we enter the fall and winter months. “

Months after the pandemic began, more than 113,800 people have died, according to Johns Hopkins, with around 1,000 deaths reported every day.”We know the pandemic is not over,” said Butler.

Transit is always risky, says CDC

Also on Friday, the CDC released new guidelines that say public transportation and travel can always be risky and that people need to think twice before leaving their homes.

The public transportation guidelines, released last month, remind people to wash their hands before and after using trains, buses, subways, and other public transportation.

“During the trip, try to keep at least 6 feet (2 meters) of people who are not in your home – for example, when you wait at a bus station or choose seats on a train,” say the lines. guidelines. “Wear a cloth face cover when physical distance is difficult. ”

The new guidelines also remind people of existing travel advice.

“COVID-19 cases and deaths have been reported in all 50 states, and the situation is constantly evolving. Because travel increases your chances of becoming infected and spreading COVID-19, staying at home is the best way to protect yourself and others from getting sick, “said the CDC.

This week’s national forecast is based on 17 individual forecasts from outside institutions and researchers. Projections predict about 130,560 deaths by Independence Day, with a possible range of 124,260 to 139,880 deaths.

“Overall statewide forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths in the next four weeks in Arizona, Arkansas, Hawaii, North Carolina, Utah and Vermont will likely exceed the number reported in the in the past four weeks, “said the CDC on its forecast site.

Here is a breakdown of some of the states that have experienced an increase in the number of infections.

Texas

Rates of new cases in Texas were much higher than they were in the previous two months, with an average of 1,729 new cases per day during the week ending June 11, according to analysis. CNN data from Johns Hopkins.

A spokesman for the Texas State Department of Health Services told CNN on Thursday that there were just over 2,000 new cases, warning: “This is still a serious situation.”

“People still need to take steps to protect themselves and their communities by continuing to distance themselves from society, wearing a face covering in public and continuing to wash their hands and disinfect surfaces frequently,” said the spokesperson Chris Van Deusen.

According to officials from Harris County, which includes Houston, hospitalizations are the highest to date. Although they believe they can handle the increase at the moment, they are preparing to reopen Houston’s NRG Stadium as a field hospital.

Florida

Meanwhile, Florida has its highest 7-day average for new cases, according to data from Johns Hopkins.

Governor Ron DeSantis said the increase in the number of cases was due to increased testing capacity. CNN data shows that statewide tests have increased, dropped and increased again.

Dr. Aileen Marty, an infectious disease expert at Florida International University in Miami, said that “a small part” of the increase came from the tests, “but it’s really a real increase in cases.” The increase could be exacerbated by people not wearing masks or social distancing, Marty said, and by the use of tear gas in recent protests after the police assassination of George Floyd in Minneapolis.

“The use of these gases is very serious … because it damages the airways,” said Marty. “It damages the exact airways that our bodies need to repel this virus. “

Arizona

Arizona Governor Doug Ducey said on Thursday that the state had the hospital’s capacity to deal with a recent outbreak, adding that it was not serious enough to restore economic restrictions.

According to the state, Arizona peaked at 79% of intensive care hospital beds used on Tuesday, while ventilator use hit a historic high of 38% on Wednesday.

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Ducey said the hospital bed rate does not include 2,600 additional “extra” beds reserved for dramatic increases.

The Phoenix mayor, however, said the state is not recovering from Covid-19.

“We have had so many records that you don’t want to beat Covid-19 from my point of view,” said Mayor Kate Gallego during a roundtable discussion with other mayors hosted by the Center for American Progress. “We opened too many doors too early, so our hospitals are really in trouble. ”

Gallego attributed the peak mainly to the lifting of the state’s house arrest on May 15.

California

In California, Los Angeles hit an almost record high, even as the county is heading into phase 3 of its reopening plan on Friday, allowing businesses like gyms, museums, day camps and TV production to resume activities.

Los Angeles County reported 1,857 new cases on Thursday, the second highest number reported in a day. A press release noted that 600 of these cases came from a backlog of test results.

Los Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti said on Wednesday that the company’s reopening made him “nervous”.

“We are still in the greatest medical pandemic of our lives,” he said, urging those participating in the protests to quarantine for 14 days or take a Covid-19 test.

Caroline from the south

Some coastal cities in South Carolina are canceling the July 4 events when the state is experiencing its own increase in cases, including at Myrtle Beach.

A city spokesman told CNN on Thursday that the area has been on an upward trend, and he told vacationers to “bring your mask and your patience.”

The trend at Myrtle Beach reflected a statewide situation. South Carolina’s top epidemiologist, Dr. Linda Bell, told a news conference on Wednesday that the past two weeks have brought the highest daily numbers since the start of the pandemic.

“Today, I am more concerned about Covid-19 in South Carolina than I have been in the past,” she said.

The increase in cases leads to delays in reopening

Nashville city officials said on Thursday that they would delay the city’s next phase of reopening due to an increase in coronavirus cases. Metro’s public health department has announced an increase of 56 cases, bringing the total number in Nashville and Davidson counties to 6,627.

According to a press release from Mayor John Cooper, “the majority of our public health parameters are satisfactory”. But the average of new 14-day cases “remains slightly high,” said Cooper.

Oregon Governor Kate Brown, a Democrat, has also decided to delay plans to reopen by a week due to an increase in the number of cases.

“We are now seeing a significant increase in Covid-19 infections in Oregon counties,” said Brown in a series of tweets, “and this is cause for concern. “

CNN’s Jacqueline Howard, Michael Nedelman, Arman Azad, Maggie Fox, Jay Croft, Ethan Cohen and Andy Rose contributed to this report.

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