London R number drops below one as infection rate drops


The rate of spread of coronavirus infection in London has dropped, new statistics reveal, although the R number and national growth rate remain the same.

The estimated number of Rs in the capital increased from 0.7-1.0 to 0.6-0.9, indicating that the rate of spread is shrinking.

But across the UK, the growth rate remains from minus 4% to minus 2% per day while the number of reproduction, called R, remains from 0.7 to 0.9.

The two figures are unchanged from their publication on Friday by the Government Office for Science and the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies.

For England, while the R value for England remains from 0.7 to 0.9, the growth rate fell from minus 4% to minus 1%, to minus 5% to minus 2%.

Specifically in London, the R-value fell to 0.6-0.9, while the growth rate is currently minus 5% to plus 1%, a slight increase.

The growth rate reflects the speed with which the number of infections is changing day by day and, as the number of infections decreases, is a more reliable way of tracking the virus.

If the growth rate is greater than zero, and therefore positive, then the disease will develop, and if the growth rate is less than zero, then the disease will decrease.

This is an approximation of the change in the number of infections each day and the size of the growth rate indicates the speed of change.

The R value of the disease indicates the average number of people to whom an infected person is likely to transmit it.

Estimates of R do not indicate how quickly an epidemic evolves, and different diseases with the same R can cause epidemics to develop at very different speeds.

Earlier it had emerged that London had been the most affected area in England for the deaths of Covid-19, with a death rate a third higher than in any other region, but the numbers are starting to decline.

Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that for England and Wales, London suffered by far the worst death rate after the capital became the epicenter of the epidemic in the United Kingdom. -United.

The boroughs of London represent nine of the ten wealthiest areas with the highest mortality rates where Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate, and as a region recorded 137.6 deaths per 100,000 population in the three last months.

The R values ​​and growth rate for the following regions are:

– East of England: 0.7-0.9, minus 6% to 0%

This is a change from minus 6% to minus 1%, suggesting that the rate of spread may increase in the region.

– London: 0.6-0.9, minus 6% to 0%

This is a change from 0.7 to 1.0 and from minus 5% to plus 1%, indicating that the rate of spread is decreasing.

– Midlands: 0.7-0.9 (0.8-1.0), with an unchanged growth rate of minus 4% to 0%

– North East and Yorkshire: 0.7-0.9, minus 4% to 0%, down from minus 5% to minus 1%

– Northwest: 0.7-1.0, minus 5% to 0%, down from minus 4% to 0%

– Southeast: 0.7-0.9, minus 6% to minus 1%, going from minus 5% to minus 1%

– Southwest: 0.6-0.9, minus 7% to 0%, also going from minus 6% to 0%


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