On the eve of a vote to determine which two countries will secure sought-after seats of the United Nations Security Council, the Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has made his 61st telephone call to a world leader since the day he walked in to the self-isolation in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic. While not every call has necessarily been made in the pursuit of currying favour of the 193 countries to decide the future of the Canada Council for Security of supply, former minister of foreign affairs John Manley said that it certainly would not hurt.
“You can’t overlook anyone, because these votes will count,” explained Manley.
“Given the amount we have bet on this, I wouldn’t be surprised if it is harder, given that he has the time, and given that there are other subjects to talk about, to try to push for this support. ”
The Security Council vote will take place Wednesday in New York, with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of François-Philippe Champagne casting Canada’s vote around noon. The winners will be required to gain the support of two-thirds of the voting rights of the country, or 129 votes each.
If this does not happen on the first ballot, the voting starts up again on Thursday until the two winners are crowned.
“As I said from the beginning, getting a seat on the Security Council for Canada is not an end in itself. It is a means to an end, it is a way for Canada to continue to have influence and have an impact on multilateralism and everywhere in the world, ” Trudeau said, speaking from the front steps of Rideau Cottage on Tuesday.
In recent months, Trudeau has held calls with several countries in Africa, the Middle East countries and other countries in Central and South America. While it is possible that the calls were made to discuss the COVID-19 pandemic or other international issues, Manley said that it is “likely” that the security council of the election, is being developed in these conversations.
A personal touch could make all the difference in a race that is sure to be a nail-biter, ” according to Ben Rowswell, a former diplomat and head of the canadian International Council.
“In a campaign that we seek to win, you would really have to want the prime minister to be the person who makes the field for the largest possible number of countries,” He said.
Canada is against Norway and Ireland for the seats, and with Norway on the balance sheet of development assistance, He said that the chances are very good that the Nordic country will secure one of the two seats.
“I suspect that Canada is going to come [out] with the second largest number of votes, and therefore win one of the two seats. But I think it’s going to be very closely called election, ” He said.
It is Canada’s second attempt to win a seat on the Security Council since its last successful bid in 1999-2000, after prime minister Stephen Harper, the government has lost its campaign in 2010.
The personal touch that Trudeau has taken the race was absent during the last offer, He said, that the prime minister Stephen Harper was not warm to the idea of devoting his time to pick up the phone and massage international of the ego in an effort to secure the seat, resulting in Canada losing the central opponent of Germany and the smallest in Portugal.
Canada’s 2010 loss raises the stakes in the current race against Norway and of Ireland for a seat in this powerful table, according to Manley.
“To lose to Portugal? It was difficult, ” She said.
“You realize that this is more-we are no longer held in the same regard by the countries around the world that we were. ”
According to Manley, Canada is in solitary as he once was. The extent of this loneliness can be thrust to the face, depending on the outcome of the UN Security Council vote.
“Let’s face it, we have not spent a lot of time and efforts of the last number of years on the Africa. We are clearly not in the Chinese or the Russian orbit, the UNITED states is not likely to be of help to us. We are, we seem to be trying to warm up with Saudi Arabia, but our Middle-Eastern relations have been called into question, so it is sometimes a problem of not, you know where your friends are and they will show up for you, ” Manley said.
“We are not the country that everyone loves, that we used to be. ”
Manley said that Canada can expect of the countries of the European Union to vote in favour of Norway or Ireland. With Canada gaiters with Saudi Arabia, China, and the tradition useful the Australia, who Manley said has been offended during the negotiations on the TPP, he said he will be ” very difficult for us to win. ”
While It was a bit more optimistic forecast for tomorrow’s vote, arguing that Canada and Norway will be respectively to secure the two seats, he agreed with Manley that the result could be an indicator of Canada’s place in the world.
“If we had to lose two times in two decades with two different political parties, which could really be quite an indictment of Canada’s role in the world,” He said.
Always is it that the experts believe that Canada was right to pursue the seat, regardless of the outcome of tomorrow can bring. Manley said that Canada should aim to serve on the Security Council once every ten years, and until 2010, Canada had reached the quota.
“Frankly, we should be at as many tables of the powerful as possible, so that we have a leverage of powerful countries,” He said.
Manley warned that Canada’s bid was a little rushed this time, however, as he said such campaigns are usually launched a decade in advance-Trudeau and the pursuit began when he was elected in 2015.
“If we lose tomorrow, I think we should decide what we face and of the dust off of ourselves and start over again. But let’s take the year, and we’re going to be strategic, day-to-day about it, ” Manley said.
Whatever happens, It is said that tomorrow the vote will be one to watch.
“It’s certainly a nail-biter, because it is a kind of down to the wire, and this government, for better and for worse, it has played a large part of our national pride on it. ”
With files from The Canadian Press