Covid-19 death rates twice as high in the most deprived areas of England

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By Conrad Quilty-Harper
and Layal Liverpool

Latest news on coronavirus at 5 p.m. June 12

Covid-19 death rates twice as high in the most deprived areas of England

The most deprived areas of England and Wales were hit twice as hard by coronavirus epidemic compared to wealthier areas, data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggest. After adjusting for age differences, there were 128 deaths involving 19 people per 100,000 population in the most disadvantaged regions of England in March, April and May, compared to 60 deaths per 100,000 in the most disadvantaged regions less disadvantaged in the country. In Wales, during the same period, the mortality rate in the most disadvantaged areas was 110 per 100,000 inhabitants compared to 58 per 100,000 in the least disadvantaged regions of the country.

The estimated number of people who had a coronavirus in England continues to decline, according to provisional results of a random swab survey by the ONS. The survey estimates that there were 33,000 infections outside hospitals and nursing homes in England between May 25 and June 7, up from 53,000 the week before.

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More news on coronaviruses

Three major airlines, British Airways, Ryanair and easyJet, have launched a court challenge against British government’s coronavirus quarantine rules, which they say will devastate tourism and the economy. The new rules, which came into effect on June 8, require passengers arriving in the United Kingdom to isolate themselves for 14 days.

Hospital morgues in India have capacity reached, some bodies now being stored on thick sheets of ice when summer temperatures reach 40 degrees Celsius. There have been more than 8,400 covid-19 deaths to date in India. To date, more than 290,000 cases of coronavirus have been confirmed in the country. India has now overtaken the United Kingdom to become the nation with the fourth highest number of confirmed cases in the world, after the United States, Brazil and Russia.

Millions more children at risk of being forced into child labor Due to the economic impact of the coronavirus crisis, the United Nations children’s agency Unicef ​​warned in a report released today. The crisis could also force already working children to work longer hours under worsening conditions, the report said.

Coronavirus kills

The death toll worldwide has exceeded 422,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 7.5 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

The coronavirus has spread to England: South West England has the highest rate of spread of coronavirus in the UK, with an estimated “R number” between 0.8 and 1.1.

Essential information about coronavirus

What is Covid-19?

What are the worst symptoms and how lethal is Covid-19?

You could spread the coronavirus without realizing that you have it

What does the evidence say about the reopening of schools?

What does the latest research on coronavirus suggest during pregnancy?

What to read, watch and listen to on coronavirus

Covid-19 Fact Checkers, a Vice podcast, pairs young people with experts who can answer their questions about the pandemic. A recent episode focused on the reasons why people of British, Asian, ethnic and minority background in the UK are disproportionately affected by covid-19.

Can you save the world? is a social distancing game from coronavirus, where the player travels through a city and earns points to save lives by correctly practicing social distancing and collecting masks.

What does coronavirus look like in every country on Earth is a 28-minute film from Channel 4 News showing what everyday life is like in every country, from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe.

Coronavirus, explained on Netflix is ​​a short documentary series examining the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, efforts to combat it, and ways to manage its mental health status.

Coronavirus: The science of a pandemic: As the number of Covid-19 deaths increases, find out how researchers around the world are rushing to understand the virus and prevent future epidemics in our free online discussion panel.

A day in the life of coronaviruses in Great Britain is an uplifting 24-hour documentary from Channel 4 that shows how British citizens face foreclosure.

New Scientist Weekly provides updates and analysis on the latest developments in the Covid-19 pandemic. Our podcast sees expert journalists from the magazine discussing the biggest science stories that will make the headlines every week – from technology and space to health and the environment.

Contagion rules is about the new science of contagion and the surprising ways it shapes our lives and behaviors. The author, Adam Kucharski, is an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK, and in the book he examines how diseases spread and why they stop.

Explanation of the Coronavirus trajectory tracker, a video by John Burn-Murdoch for the Financial Times, uses data visualization to explain daily charts that show how cases and deaths of coronavirus are spreading worldwide.

Contagion: BBC Four pandemic is a sober documentary about the progression of a hypothetical pandemic that the BBC simulated in 2017. Designed by science journalist and television presenter Hannah Fry, and produced with the support of some of the country’s best epidemiologists and mathematical modellers, it is very relevant to today’s lust -19 pandemic.

Previous updates

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A medical worker at the Royal Papworth Hospital in Cambridge, UK.

Neil Hall / EPA / Bloomberg via Getty Images

June 11

Covid-19 dramatically disrupts NHS cancer care, surgery and A&E

The National Health Service in England has revealed how disrupted the coronavirus pandemic has been. Number of people in England valued by an oncologist dropped 60% in April to 79,500 from nearly 200,000 in the same month last year. The number of people being treated for cancer fell to 10,800 in April, down 20% from 2019. NHS England said the falls were partly due to the fact that people were not seeking medical treatment in because of concerns about Covid-19, but hospitals also had to delay or stop certain treatments following an outbreak of coronavirus. To compensate for this, the NHS England has set up “no lust” wings in some hospitals and “Chemo-bus” who can go to patients to provide chemotherapy.

The number of routine surgeries, which include hip and knee replacements, cataracts and hernia surgeries, fell to 41,000 in April from 280,000 the same month last year. Data from accident and emergency services show that 1.26 million people sought treatment in May, well below 2 million in May 2019.

More news on coronaviruses

England the coronavirus contact tracking scheme could not to reach a third of people tested positive for the virus during its first week of operation, new figures have revealed. Initial statistics from the NHS Test and Trace system, released today, show that it was able to contact 5,407 of 8,117 people who tested positive between May 28 and June 3, and could not contact the remaining 33%. Respondents revealed an average of approximately six close contacts, or 31,794 in total, and contact tracers were able to reach approximately 85% of these contacts.

Ashish Jha, director of the Global Health Institute at Harvard, said the total death toll in the United States could spend 200,000 by September even if the number of new daily deaths remains stable. “And it’s only until September. The pandemic will not be over in September, “he told CNN. To date, more than 113,000 people have died from coronaviruses in the United States.

The coronavirus pandemic is “accelerating” in African countries, Matshidiso Moeti, Regional Director for Africa of the World Health Organization said. Community transmission occurs in more than half of the 54 African countries and the number of cases has increased from 100,000 to 200,000 in the past 18 days, compared to 98 days to 100,000. African countries have reported a total of 5,000 deaths to date, with 10 countries, including South Africa, Egypt and Nigeria, accounting for three-quarters of the total.

The launch of the NHSX covid-19 contact tracing application in the rest of England has been delayed after the application developers struggled to get Bluetooth radio technology to measure distances effectively. A first version of the app is being tested on the Isle of Wight and a second version was due to be tested on Tuesday, but has now been postponed. NHSX software differs from a framework-based application tracking technology developed by Apple and Google that is used in many other countries. the BBC reports that ministers in the UK are now considering adopting this approach instead.

Coronavirus kills

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 417,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 7.4 million, according to map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

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June 10

Coronavirus was introduced to the UK by travelers mainly from Spain, France and Italy

The coronavirus was introduced and spread across the UK by 1356 people who have traveled here mainly from European countries, according to a preliminary study by researchers from the Covid-19 Genomics UK consortium. The study has not yet been peer reviewed. Researchers analyzed the genetic sequences of 20,000 cases of coronavirus in the UK and used it to build a family tree. This revealed the lineage of the different infections and allowed the team to trace their origins. They estimate that 34% of these first cases of coronavirus were people who arrived in the UK from Spain, 29% from France and 14% from Italy. Researchers estimate that most of the virus was introduced to the UK in March.

Other coronavirus developments

The number of people on Waiting lists for NHS treatment in England could more than double to 9.8 million by the end of the year, according to a letter sent today to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson by the NHS Confederation, an organization that represents those who order or provide services from the NHS. Before the pandemic, 4.4 million people were waiting for treatment, such as a hernia repair, cataract removal, or hip or knee replacement surgery.

Schools in England struggle to reopen in Septembersaid Michael Wilshaw, former director of Ofsted, a government agency responsible for inspecting schools. He said, “If you want to emphasize social distance and a maximum of 15 students in a class, we will need double the space, we will need double the number of teachers and we must make sure we have this. “

24 percent of people in the UK said they had at least one mental health problem in April this year, according to one survey by the think tank of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). This is more than double the level expected from pre-pandemic data collected between 2017 and 2019. Women and young people have reported the biggest declines in their mental health, according to the IFS.

The use of face covers by the public, combined with physical distancing or lock-in periods, can provide an acceptable means of reopening economic activity while managing the spread of the coronavirus, suggests a modeling study published today in the Royal Society Acts A.

Coronavirus kills

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 412,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 7.2 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

New pandemic center: Coronavirus cases are increasing sharply in South America, compounded by inequalities, reports Luke Taylor of Bogotá, Colombia.

Coronavirus and food: Many diets suggest strengthening your immune system to protect you from covid-19, but there is no evidence that they are true, writes James Wong.

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Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO).

FABRICE COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images

June 9

Highest daily jump rate of coronavirus cases in the world to date

The world’s largest daily increase in coronavirus cases to date was on Sunday, with 136,000 new cases confirmed, said World Health Organization (WHO) director general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. told reporters yesterday. “Although the situation in Europe is improving, it is getting worse on a global scale,” he said. Almost 75% of the cases confirmed on June 7 came from only 10 countries, mainly in the Americas and South Asia, the Guardian reports.

Other coronavirus developments

Maria Van Kerkhove, Head of the WHO Emerging Diseases and Zoonoses Unit, was today criticized by doctors and researchers in infectious diseases for saying on Monday that it is “very rare” for people to have coronavirus without symptoms. Van Kerkhove clarified his statement today, during a live Q&A on social networks, claiming that “between 6 and 41% of the population can be infected but show no symptoms”.

Elementary students in England shouldn’t go back to school anymore before the end of the summer term, the British government has announced. Primary schools in England reopened on June 1 to accommodate first and sixth grade students and the government had originally planned that all remaining students would return for the last month of the term before the start of the summer holidays, the 22nd of July. School principals previously warned that it would not be possible for students to practice social distancing in the classroom.

Public health in England coronavirus testing survey is to monitor the prevalence of coronavirus among those returning to school and to investigate the number of children who transmit the virus. Teachers and students from over 100 schools will soon receive swab and anti-coronavirus antibody tests.

Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificates of 44,869 people in England and Wales between the weeks ending March 27 and May 29, according to data from the National Statistics Office reveals. The number of deaths recorded as involving covid-19 during the week ending May 29 was 1,822, down from the most recent peak of 8,758 during the week ending April 17. The total number of deaths recorded in England and Wales during the week ending May 29 was 9,824, 20% more than you would expect based on the five-year average .

Coronavirus kills

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 407,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 7.1 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

Covid-19 during pregnancy: 56% of pregnant women with covid-19 are of black, Asian and minority origin, according to a study.

Protect the vulnerable: On May 31, the British government announced that so-called shields in England and Wales could now leave their homes. But what is the evidence behind the idea of ​​protecting the vulnerable, and is it really safe to stop now?

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An empty Champs-Élysées in Paris, France, during the foreclosure of the country.

Hollandse Hoogte / ANP / PA images

June 8

Lockouts have prevented at least 3.1 million deaths in Covid-19 in Europe

It is estimated that 3.1 million deaths from Covid-19 have been prevented by blockages and other social distancing from coronaviruses in 11 European countries, including the United Kingdom, according to a modeling study Posted in Nature. 470,000 deaths have been averted in the UK alone the researchers who conducted the study told the Guardian.

The team analyzed data on coronavirus deaths reported up to May 4 in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. -United. They concluded that for the 11 countries, the interventions were effective enough to R number – a measure of the speed at which the virus spreads – below 1. Researchers also estimate that the lock implemented in the United Kingdom on March 23 reduced the country’s R number from 3.8 to 0.63 between the end March and early May. Overall, the study estimates that between 12 and 15 million people in the 11 countries had coronavirus as of May 4, about 3-4% of their combined population.

In the United States, approximately 60 million coronavirus infections have been prevented through home stay orders and other coronavirus restrictions, according to one separate modeling study. He estimated that 530 million infections had been prevented in the United States, China, South Korea, Italy, Iran and France, and 285 million had been prevented in China alone.

Other coronavirus developments

New Zealand has no case of active coronavirus starting today and almost all coronavirus restrictions in the country will be lifted starting Tuesday. Contact tracing will continue to be important as new cases may emerge, New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern told reporters today.

400,000 people are should return to work in New York today in construction, manufacturing and retail. About 500 new confirmed cases of coronavirus are reported daily in the city, compared to a peak of nearly 19,000 cases a day during the first two weeks of April. State and city officials say the number is low enough that contact tracers can track anyone who has been in contact with people confirmed to have a coronavirus.

People should wear face covers in public places, including supermarkets, offices, schools, public transportation, and at any social or mass gathering, according to an update from the World Health Organization. health (WHO) directives on June 5. WHO also recommends that people wear a face covering if they live in cramped conditions, especially in refugee camps and slums.

Coronavirus kills

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 409,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 7 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

Lack of UK test data: The British government will not say when it will resume reporting the number of people outside hospitals and nursing homes tested for covid-19 after more than a fortnight’s suspension from publication due to double counting.

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Victoria Jones / PA Wire / Images PA

June 5

Estimated Covid-19 infections dropped in England

The estimated number of people who had covid-19 in England declined in May, according to provisional results of a random swab survey by the National Statistics Office. In the last two weeks of May, only 1 in 1,000 people, or 0.1% of people in England, were allegedly victims of covid-19 between April 26 and May 8, that number was almost 2.5 times higher. The survey, which did not include people in hospitals or nursing homes and was conducted before the additional restrictions were relaxed in England on June 1, also found that people who worked outside the home had estimated covid-19 rates 3.5 times higher than those who worked from home.

Other coronavirus developments

the R number for the United Kingdom stay on the same level like last week, between 0.7 and 0.9. According to the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE), the figure is slightly higher in England – between 0.7 and 1. It is expected that any impact of the recent locking relaxation will begin to be perceived on the R, a measure of how quickly the virus spreads next week.

A British Heart Foundation investigation people in the UK with heart and circulatory diseases have found that half of them say they have had more difficulty getting medical treatment since the start of the coronavirus pandemic. 48% of these people mentioned the lack of available in-person appointments and 41% said they should have postponed or canceled a test, surgery or intervention. Individual concerns about the impact of Covid-19 on health services also played a role – 42% of respondents said they did not want to put additional pressure on the NHS, and 27% said that ‘They were concerned about the risk of contracting Covid-19 while going to a hospital or clinic. The survey interviewed 11,300 adults between May 5 and May 13, of whom 1,484 have or have had heart or circulatory disease.

The Lancet retracted a study which found that hydroxychloroquine, an antimalarial, could be harmful in Covid-19 patients, after three of the authors said they “could no longer vouch for the veracity of the main sources of data”. The data comes from the American health analysis company Surgisphere and has been closely examined earlier this week.

The British Medical Association (BMA) has requested that face covers be worn in all areas where social isolation is not possible. This follows yesterday’s announcement by the government that obligatory on public transport in England from June 15th. The BMA also suggested that the public should adopt face covers now, rather than waiting for the measures to become mandatory.

Coronavirus numbers

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 391,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 6.6 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

Social bubbles: Indoor socialization with more than one household in social “bubbles” during the covid-19 crisis should not be allowed anytime soon in the UK, judging by government science advisers and the new modeling.

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PARIS – triumphal arch and an empty elysees field An empty paris, people are only allowed on the street for 1 hour a day and 1 kilometer from their house to do their shopping. France will extend the national closure introduced to curb the spread of the new coronavirus for the second time, which means it will go beyond April 15, French President Emmanuel Macron speaks for the third Monday evening (8:02 pm) to shoot the population towards the fight against the new coronavirus. According to French media, it does not provide relief to the population, but will propose more measures and significantly prolong the lockout. Macron believes that the time has come to relax the measures, as the virus is not weakening very much and he fears that the worst is yet to come.

Hollandse Hoogte / ANP / PA images

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Half of people say their sleep has been disturbed since the start of the pandemic

JGI / Tom Grill / Getty Images

Latest news on coronavirus at 5 p.m. June 4

In the UK, people sleep worse under lockdown

In the UK, 60% of those polled say they have had a more difficult sleep since the lockdown was announced on March 23, according to a survey led by researchers from King’s College London and Ipsos MORI. Half of those surveyed said their sleep was more disturbed than usual and 39% said they slept fewer hours per night on average. 29% of people said they slept longer but felt less rested than usual. People who reported finding the coronavirus stressful or who were experiencing financial difficulties due to disturbances caused by the coronavirus were more likely to report experiencing less good sleep. Young people were more likely to report sleep changes than older people, and 38% of respondents said have more vivid dreams than usual. The survey polled 2,254 people in the UK between the ages of 16 and 75 between May 20 and 22.

Other coronavirus developments

UK Transport Minister Grant Shapps announced today that face covers will become compulsory in public transport in England from June 15. There will be exemptions, for example for people with breathing difficulties.

Tests on the use of hydroxychloroquine as a treatment for covid-19 have been restarted by the World Health Organization (WHO). The trials were suspended based on a study using data from the American health analysis company Surgisphere, which is now questioned.

British Business Minister Alok Sharma is self-insulating at home and has been tested for coronavirus yesterday he fell ill in parliament. Some MPs had previously raised security concerns regarding the return to in-person voting in Parliament on Tuesday. MEPs today obtained an emergency debate on the decision to end the virtual vote, which will take place on Monday.

It is estimated that at least 80 million children under the age of one are miss routine immunizations because of the coronavirus pandemic, according to data from WHO and other non-governmental organizations. Many of these children live in Southeast Asia and Africa. Countries like Nepal, Cambodia and Ethiopia are currently experiencing outbreaks of preventable fatal diseases, including measles, cholera and yellow fever.

Coronavirus numbers

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The death toll worldwide has exceeded 386,000. The number of confirmed cases exceeds 6.5 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, although the actual number of cases is much higher.

Latest news on new scientist’s coronavirus

Coronavirus and carbon dioxide levels: Locks and economic downturns during the coronavirus pandemic had no visible impact on the amount of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere, according to new data showing that greenhouse gas levels have reached record levels last month.

Mesurer la distance sociale: À mesure que les verrouillages se lèvent et que les restrictions commencent à se relâcher dans le monde entier, une gamme de façons originales de juger une distance sociale de 2 mètres est suggérée.

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Un gouvernement et NHS Test and Trace annonce sur un panneau d’affichage à Londres.

/ Photo prise le 10 novembre 2018 / REUTERS / Hannah McKay

3 juin

Le système NHS Test and Trace ne détecte pas suffisamment de contacts des cas de coronavirus

Le système NHS Test and Trace, qui est conçu pour identifier les personnes qui auraient pu être exposées à des personnes dont le coronavirus a été testé positif, seulement atteint 38 pour cent des contacts connus des personnes diagnostiquées avec un coronavirus, selon les données divulguées obtenues par Channel 4 News. Le Groupe consultatif scientifique pour les situations d’urgence (SAGE), le groupe consultatif officiel du gouvernement pour la pandémie, estime que le système doit atteindre 80% pour être efficace. Sur 4634 contacts fournis au NHS Test and Trace par des personnes dont le coronavirus a été confirmé entre le 28 et le 31 mai, seuls 1749 ont été contactés.

Autres développements de coronavirus

L’Organisation mondiale de la santé et plusieurs pays ont modifié leurs politiques sur les traitements covid-19 sur la base des données d’un étudier dans le Lancet qui est maintenant remis en question, un Guardian investigation a révélé. Les données utilisées dans l’étude ont été fournies par la société américaine d’analyse de la santé Surgisphere et ont suggéré que l’hydroxychloroquine et la chloroquine antipaludiques pourraient augmenter le risque de décès chez les patients de Covid-19, ce qui a conduit à la suspension des essais cliniques visant à déterminer si ces des médicaments pourraient être utilisés pour traiter covid-19. Mais le Lancet a publié un «expression de préoccupation»Sur la validité des données, étape parfois franchie avant la rétractation d’une étude. Il y a aussi préoccupations à propos d’un séparé New England Journal of Medicine study qui a également utilisé les données fournies par Surgisphere.

Le Premier ministre britannique Boris Johnson a déclaré aujourd’hui aux députés que le niveau d’alerte actuel du gouvernement pour le coronavirus, un système conçu pour informer les gens sur la gravité de la pandémie, « Autorise » l’assouplissement des restrictions. Cela contredit les propres orientations du gouvernement, qui selon le niveau d’alerte actuel de 4, disent que les restrictions actuelles doivent rester. The temperature rapporté hier que Johnson espérait réduire le niveau d’alerte virale de 4 à 3 pour justifier l’assouplissement des restrictions cette semaine, mais le changement a été empêché par Chris Whitty, le médecin-chef de l’Angleterre.

La suppression trop rapide des restrictions sur les coronavirus et la réintroduction des verrouillages seront pires pour l’économie mondiale que l’assouplissement progressif des restrictions, selon un étude de modélisation Publié dans Nature Comportement humain today. L’étude a modélisé trois scénarios différents pour lever les blocages, dont un dans lequel les restrictions sont assouplies progressivement sur 12 mois et deux où toutes les restrictions sont levées immédiatement mais réintroduites dans un délai d’un an. Les chercheurs ont constaté que l’impact des pertes de la chaîne d’approvisionnement sur le PIB mondial dans le scénario d’assouplissement progressif devrait être d’environ 10 à 20 pour cent inférieur à celui des scénarios de fermetures récurrentes.

Les Noirs ont reçu un nombre disproportionnellement élevé d’amendes pour des infractions au verrouillage à Londres selon les chiffres de la police métropolitaine. Sur les 973 amendes infligées entre le 27 mars et le 14 mai, les Noirs ont reçu 26% alors qu’ils ne représentaient que 12% de la population de Londres.

Morts du coronavirus

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Le nombre de morts dans le monde a dépassé 381 000. Le nombre de cas confirmés est supérieur à 6,4 millions, selon le carte et tableau de bord de l’Université Johns Hopkins, bien que le nombre réel de cas soit beaucoup plus élevé.

Dernières nouvelles sur les coronavirus d’un nouveau scientifique

Pourquoi les décès au Royaume-Uni sont-ils si élevés?: Le Royaume-Uni a le plus grand nombre de décès excédentaires absolus dans la semaine se terminant le 20 mars de tous les pays d’Europe. Pourquoi y a-t-il eu autant de décès par coronavirus au Royaume-Uni?

Vaccin contre le coronavirus: 124 vaccins contre les coronavirus sont en cours de développement, dont 10 sont déjà testés chez l’homme. Mais est-ce que certains d’entre eux fonctionneront?

Informations essentielles sur le coronavirus

Qu’est-ce que Covid-19?

Quels sont les pires symptômes et à quel point le Covid-19 est-il mortel?

Vous pourriez propager le coronavirus sans vous rendre compte que vous l’avez

Que disent les preuves de la réouverture des écoles?

Que suggèrent les dernières recherches sur le coronavirus pendant la grossesse?

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Les personnes de 80 ans ou plus hospitalisées pour un coronavirus étaient 70 fois plus susceptibles de mourir que celles de moins de 40 ans

Ungureanu Vadim / EyeEm / Getty Images

June 2

Le décès par Covid-19 pour les cas graves est 70 fois plus élevé chez les personnes de plus de 80 ans

Les personnes de plus de 80 ans en Angleterre qui sont hospitalisées avec covid-19 sont 70 fois plus susceptibles de mourir que les personnes de moins de 40 ans, selon un rapport de Public Health England. Selon le rapport, la probabilité de décès est environ trois fois plus élevée pour les personnes âgées de 40 à 49 ans, neuf fois plus élevée pour les personnes âgées de 50 à 59 ans, 27 fois plus élevée pour celles dans la soixantaine et 50 fois plus élevée pour celles dans la soixantaine. Cependant, ces probabilités ont été calculées à partir de cas où les personnes présentaient des symptômes suffisamment graves pour se faire tester pour covid-19. L’analyse n’a pas pris en compte les cas moins graves.

Les données montrent également que les Noirs sont deux à trois fois plus susceptibles d’être diagnostiqués avec un coronavirus que les Blancs, et les taux de mortalité par Covid-19 sont les plus élevés parmi les personnes des groupes ethniques noirs et asiatiques. Les personnes d’origine bangladaise avaient le risque de décès le plus élevé de tous les groupes ethniques, environ deux fois plus que les Blancs. People of Chinese, Indian, Pakistani, Other Asian, Caribbean and Other Black ethnicity had between a 10 and 50 per cent higher risk than white people.

The analysis didn’t take people’s occupation or pre-existing health conditions into account, which may go some way to explain the differences in infection and death rate between ethnic groups. however, other studies suggest these factors don’t fully explain the disparity.

Other coronavirus developments

Keeping two metres away from other people is much more effective at limiting the transmission of coronavirus than one metre, with the risk halving for every additional half metre of distance up to three metres, according to a review of 172 studies published in The Lancet. Wearing a face covering and eye protection can also significantly reduce the spread of the virus.

There were 56,308 more deaths in England and Wales between 27 March and 22 May than would normally be expected, according to the National Statistics Office.

the UK government’s presentation of coronavirus testing numbers is misleading, unclear and difficult to understand, David Norgrove, the head of the UK Statistics Authority, wrote in a letter to health minister Matt Hancock today. Norgrove said the way the government presented the numbers seemed to be designed to show “the largest possible number of tests, even at the expense of understanding.”

UK government press briefings on the coronavirus crisis will no longer take place at weekends, and prime minister Boris Johnson is now set to lead the televised press conferences once a week.

China took more than a week to release the sequenced genome of the coronavirus, according to recordings of World Health Organization meetings in the week of 6 January obtained by the Associated press. Chinese authorities also delayed the release of diagnostic tests and other data about patients which was needed to evaluate the coronavirus epidemic.

Coronavirus numbers

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The worldwide death toll has passed 376,000. The number of confirmed cases is more than 6.3 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, though the true number of cases will be much higher.

Latest on coronavirus from New Scientist

UK contact tracing plans criticised: The UK government has been criticised for lifting some coronavirus lockdown restrictions without contact tracing measures fully in place to deal with any resulting covid-19 outbreaks.

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Furniture store Ikea in Belfast opened for the first time since the lockdown began today.

Liam McBurney/PA Wire/PA Images

June 1

Restrictions eased in England despite warnings from public health directors

The NHS Test and Trace programme is not robust enough to support the UK government’s easing of coronavirus restrictions and prevent a resurgence of virus cases, according to an article published yesterday by the Association of Directors of Public Health (ADPH), a body that represents public health directors, specialists who oversee public health activities in UK local authorities. The ADPH says restrictions should not be eased because the daily death toll is not consistently falling, particularly in care homes. They also say that easing restrictions too quickly will make it hard to calculate the R number for the disease, a measure of how fast coronavirus infections are spreading.

the easing of restrictions in England from today includes people being allowed to meet outdoors in groups of up to six, while maintaining a two metre distance between people from different households, as well as the reopening of car showrooms and outdoor markets.

Pupils in reception, Year 1 and Year 6 in England were allowed to return to school today, but 46 per cent of parents and carers may have kept their children at home, a survey of primary school leaders by the National Foundation for Educational Research suggests.

Other coronavirus developments

The total number of confirmed coronavirus cases around the world has passed 6.2 million, and more than 373,000 people are confirmed to have died from the disease.

The UK government has not released data about how many people are tested for coronavirus since 22 May. The official numbers, which say there were 115,275 tests performed on 30 May with a capacity for 205,634 tests, also “double count” by including nasal swabs and saliva tests on the same person.

Only 197 cases of influenza virus were confirmed in Australia this May, compared to 30,567 in the same month last year, according to Australia’s Department of Health. This huge decrease in flu cases may be due to social distancing measures introduced to limit the spread of coronavirus. Australia’s flu season usually peaks during its winter months, from June to August.

There is only one person with active covid-19 in New Zealand, according to the latest figures from New Zealand’s health ministry.

Coronavirus numbers

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UK contact tracing plans criticised: The UK government has been criticised for lifting some coronavirus lockdown restrictions without contact tracing measures fully in place to deal with any resulting covid-19 outbreaks.

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May 29

14 per cent of people in the UK said they have had friends or family visit them at home, according to a survey conducted between 20 and 22 May by researchers at King’s College London and Ipsos MORI. Only 5 per cent of people reported having broken lockdown restrictions in this way in a similar survey done between 1 and 3 April.

The poll surveyed 2254 people in the UK aged 16 to 75. Of these, 92 per cent of people said they are maintaining a two metre distance from other people in public spaces in accordance with government guidelines and 38 per cent are wearing a face mask or covering outside.

The survey found that 40 per cent of people think they will catch the coronavirus by the end of the year. 35 per cent of people said they had delayed seeking medical advice or treatment for non-coronavirus conditions and 17 per cent said they’d had to delay or cancel treatment due to disruptions caused by the pandemic. Almost half of those surveyed – 48 per cent – reported feeling more anxious and depressed than usual.

Other coronavirus developments

the UK government’s coronavirus alert level remains at 4, which corresponds to high or rising virus transmission, a Downing Street spokesperson told journalists today. Further easing of restrictions in England is set to begin on Monday, despite the government’s own guidelines suggesting that an alert level of 4 warrants continuation of “current social distancing measures and restrictions.” There were 1887 positive tests for coronavirus in the UK on 27 May.

More than 200 schools which had reopened in South Korea on Wednesday were forced to close again today due to a new outbreak of coronavirus. The country reported 79 new cases on Thursday, the highest number in two months.

Brazil reported a new daily record of 26,417 confirmed new coronavirus cases on Thursday, according to the country’s health ministry. There have been more than 438,000 coronavirus cases confirmed in Brazil so far, the second-highest number of any country, after the US.

the covid-19 death toll for Moscow, Russia, has been revised from 639 to 1561. The revised figure includes 169 cases where tests had initially been negative but where post-mortem examinations confirmed coronavirus as the cause of death. It also includes more than 700 people who died of other causes that were made worse by a confirmed coronavirus infection.

Coronavirus numbers

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The worldwide death toll has passed 361,000. The number of confirmed cases is more than 5.8 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, though the true number of cases will be much higher.

Latest on coronavirus from New Scientist

Coronavirus in the brain: From loss of smell to stroke, people with covid-19 are reporting strange neurological issues that challenge our understanding of the disease – and how to treat it.

How to lower your coronavirus risk: The coronavirus is still circulating yet many countries are taking steps to relax restrictions. If you have been asked to return to work or send your children back to school, how can you minimise the risk of infection to yourself and your family?

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Executive Chair of NHS Test and Trace, Baroness Dido Harding in No 10 Downing Street.

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May 28

England’s test and trace system won’t be fully operational until end of June

England’s test and trace system, which is designed to identify people who might have been exposed to people who have tested positive for coronavirus, won’t be fully operational until the end of June, Dido Harding, who is leading the NHS Test and Trace scheme, told MPs today. UK prime minister Boris Johnson said last week that the system would be in place and able to track 10,000 people a day using text, phone and email by 1 June. Harding also described the NHS covid-19 contact tracing app, which was meant to launch on 15 May but was delayed until 1 June, as “the cherry on the cake rather than the cake itself.”

In England, people will be allowed to meet in public places and private gardens in groups of up to six starting on Monday, and in Scotland, groups of up to eight people from two different households will be allowed to meet outdoors from tomorrow. Northern Ireland allowed groups of up to six people to meet outside from 18 May. People from different households will still be required to keep a distance of two metres.

Other coronavirus developments

There have been more than 100,000 deaths from covid-19 in the US since the outbreak began, according to Université Johns Hopkins, the largest number of any country. The number of daily new confirmed cases has been rising over the last week in 18 states, including California, Florida and Louisiana. In New York, the country’s worst-hit state with more than 369,000 cases in total, the number of daily new cases has fallen to around 1,200, down from a peak in early April of over 10,000 a day.

An analysis by the Financial times suggests the UK had the second highest rate of coronavirus deaths among 19 countries with comparable data. The UK registered 59,537 more deaths than would normally be expected to occur since the week ending 20 March, a death rate of 891 per million people, higher than Italy and the US, and second only to Spain. the FT analysis also found a link between countries that locked down earlier in their outbreaks and lower death tolls.

Boris Johnson’s senior aide Dominic Cummings might have breached the UK’s coronavirus restrictions when he drove to Barnard Castle in April, but the incident does not warrant further action, Durham police said in a statement today.

An estimated 133,000 people in England outside hospitals and care homes had covid-19 between 11 and 24 May, according to results from a random swab testing survey in England by the National Statistics Office. The figure is down slightly from 148,000 between 27 April and 10 May.

UK health minister Matt Hancock responded today to a letter from the UK Statistics Authority to clarify that the government’s target of 200,000 coronavirus tests per day by Sunday doesn’t refer to the number of tests actually performed. Instead it refers to the testing capacity.

The number of passengers arriving in the UK by plane in April was 99 per cent lower than it was in the same month last year, according to a Home Office report published today. 112,300 passengers arrived in the UK by air in April this year, down from about 3.8 million in March and 7.1 million in January.

Coronavirus numbers

graph of coronavirus deaths

The worldwide death toll has passed 356,000. The number of confirmed cases is more than 5.7 million, according to the map and dashboard from Johns Hopkins University, though the true number of cases will be much higher.


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