Beer Companies Affected by Lockout Warn Boris Johnson of “Maximum Danger” | Business


Hundreds of pubs could close forever, unless Boris Johnson decides to reopen within 48 hours, the UK’s largest beer companies have warned.In an open letter to the Prime Minister, more than 50 companies said the drop in beer sales and prolonged uncertainty had brought the pub and brewery industry to “a time of maximum danger” that could cost hundreds thousands of jobs.

The signatories – from global giants such as the owner of Guinness Diageo to family brewers like Adnam’s – urged Johnson to say on Friday whether the government would allow the pubs to reopen from July 4.

The date was originally proposed by the government as part of a gradual lifting of foreclosure restrictions, including allowing non-essential stores to start trading this week. But the prime minister has yet to confirm whether the plan will continue, despite repeated calls for clarity from the industry, which claims it needs three weeks to prepare.

Infectious disease epidemics behave in different ways, but the 1918 flu pandemic that killed more than 50 million people is considered a key example of a pandemic that occurred in several waves, the latter being more serious than the first. . It has been reproduced – albeit more slightly – in subsequent influenza pandemics.How and why multiple wave outbreaks occur, and how to prevent future waves of infection, has become a staple of epidemiological modeling and pandemic preparedness studies, which have looked at everything from social behavior and health policy to vaccination and building up community immunity. , also known as collective immunity.

Is there evidence of a return of the coronavirus in a second wave?

This is being watched very carefully. Without a vaccine and no generalized immunity to the new disease, an experience is drawn from the experience of Singapore, which experienced a sudden resurgence of infections despite praise for its early management of the epidemic.

Although Singapore has put in place a robust contact tracing system for its general population, the disease has re-emerged in cramped dormitories used by thousands of foreign workers with inadequate hygiene facilities and shared canteens.

Singapore’s experience, although very specific, has demonstrated the ability of the disease to recur strongly in places where people are nearby and its ability to exploit any weaknesses in the public health systems put in place to combat it.

In June 2020, Beijing suffered from a new cluster of coronavirus cases that prompted the authorities to reinstate restrictions that China had previously lifted.

What are the experts worried about?

Conventional wisdom among scientists suggests that second waves of resistant infections occur after treatment and isolation capacity is exhausted. In this case, the concern is that the social and political consensus supporting the closures will be overcome by public frustration and the urgent need to reopen the economies.

The threat decreases when the susceptibility of the population to the disease falls below a certain threshold or when generalized vaccination becomes available.

In general terms, the ratio of susceptible and immune individuals in a population at the end of a wave determines the potential magnitude of a next wave. The concern right now is that with a vaccine still in several months and that the real infection rate is only guessed, people around the world remain very vulnerable to both the resurgence and subsequent waves.

Peter beaumont

“Our businesses cannot afford to continue in limbo,” said the companies, including Carlsberg, Molson Coors and Greene King. “The livelihoods of thousands of tax collectors and hundreds of thousands of pub and brewery workers across the UK are at stake.

“We want to work with the government to get our breweries and pubs back on track, but we urgently need your help to make this clear.”

In addition to confirming a reopening date, the letter – coordinated by the British Beer and Pubs Association (BBPA) – calls on the government to issue industry-specific guidelines that employers can use to train staff.

The BBPA said that some companies had started to take staff off to prepare, while the brewers had started making beer to be ready for the return of demand.

This has increased costs for an industry that already burns £ 100 million a month to support itself in the absence of any trade, said BBPA.

The letter represents escalating pressure on the government’s beer and pub industry, which was devastated by three months of foreclosure.

Government officials hinted this month that the English beer gardens could reopen on June 22, allowing pubs with outdoor space to start earning much-needed sales sooner than expected.

But Downing Street abandoned the plan, fueling industry confusion about the reopening and raising concerns that many 47,000 pubs in the UK are not surviving the pandemic.

The Guardian contacted Downing Street and the Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy for comment.


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