10 states have the highest daily average of new COVID-19 cases

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By Holly Yan and Madeline Holcombe | CNNJust as most of the United States was improving, 10 states have their highest seven-day average of new coronavirus cases per day since the pandemic started months ago, according to CNN analysis of the data. ‘Johns Hopkins University.

The data includes new cases reported by Johns Hopkins up to Tuesday. The states with record averages are Alabama, Arizona, California, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, and Texas.

Texas also reported a record number of daily Covid-19 hospitalizations on Monday, with 2,326.

Los Angeles County, which accounts for almost half of the cases in California, reported a new record in a single day of new cases on Wednesday, although officials said the increase was due to late test reports.

While some politicians have attributed higher case numbers to better tests, recent increases outweigh the increase in tests, said Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel, chair of the Department of Medical Ethics and Health Policy at the University. from Pennsylvania.

“You may have a small percentage increase due to testing in terms of the number of cases,” he said.

“But when you see a 50% or 150% increase in the number of cases you see – which we see in the South – this is not a test. These are new cases. It’s the community that has spread. ”

State trends

According to data from Johns Hopkins University:

• 21 states see an increasing trend in new cases reported from week to week: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Kansas, Oregon, Louisiana, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wyoming.

• Eight states see a constant number of new cases reported: Connecticut, Indiana, Maine, Mississippi, Ohio, South Dakota, Utah and Washington.

• 21 states see a downward trend: Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania , Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia and Wisconsin.

• One state, Vermont, experienced a decline of at least 50%.

Across the country, more than 2.1 million people have been infected with a coronavirus and more than 117,000 have died.

What states should do if they don’t want to close again

“We are witnessing these surges, these hot spots are now appearing in a number of states – especially Texas, Florida, Arizona,” said Erin Bromage, associate professor of biology at the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth.

“These numbers are increasing really quickly. Most importantly, the number of hospitalizations in these states is increasing, which is usually a few weeks behind the number of new cases. ”

Florida recorded nearly 2,800 new cases of coronavirus on Monday – its largest number of new and confirmed cases in a single day, according to the Florida Department of Health.

But Governor Ron DeSantis said the state would not close.

“We will go ahead. We will continue to protect the most vulnerable, ”said DeSantis. He also urged residents to maintain social distance and avoid crowds.

States don’t need to shut down again to control the virus, said Bromage. “They just need clearer messages to guide their people on what to do.”

“Get masks on the people. We know it helps, ”he said.

“Strengthens the social distance between people. And slow down this race to reopen (completely). Because if you don’t, we know that these case peaks – if they continue to increase as they are – always precede very large cases in hospitals. ”

West Virginia governor Jim Justice reported a sixth church-related epidemic. Three are still active, he said.

At least 32 cases have been identified in a Greenbrier county church and four cases in an Ohio county church. Justice has not said how many parishioners tested positive in a church in Boone County, the third active site of the epidemic.

Texas mayors want to demand masks in nearby public spaces

Nine Texas Mayors, including Houston, Dallas, Austin and San Antonio, urged Governor Greg Abbott to give them the power to demand that masks be worn in public “where physical distance cannot be practiced ”

In a letter to Abbott, the mayors said that “many people in many of our cities still refuse to wear these face covers even though these covers are scientifically proven to help prevent the spread of the disease. ”

The governor acknowledged that “wearing a mask is very important”, but expressed reservations about the application and potential sanctions. “We all have a collective responsibility to educate the public that wearing a mask is the best thing to do. ”

An increasing number of studies show that face masks reduce the spread of the coronavirus, especially because many people are contagious before they have symptoms and because the virus can be spread by talking or breathing.

Arizona Governor Doug Ducey has resisted calls from statewide doctors to demand masks in public places, saying he would leave it up to mayors to decide because the level of transmission varies from one region to another.

Montgomery, Alabama, Mayor Steven Reed has issued a decree requiring masks or face covers to be worn in public places, one day after city council did not adopt ammunition with this requirement.

It is estimated that 230,000 to 450,000 cases of the virus have been averted in states that adopted requirements for mask use between April 8 and May 15, according to a study reported Tuesday.

“The results suggest that requiring the use of a face mask in public could help mitigate the spread of COVID-19,” wrote Wei Lyu and George Wehby, of the College’s Department of Health Management and Policy. of Public Health at the University of Iowa.

Another study published in the Lancet medical journal also said that wearing a face mask reduces the risk of spreading the coronavirus.

A 2nd wave could happen, but we are still in the 1st wave

A “second wave” of coronavirus could start in late August, with the United States reaching more than 201,000 Covid-19 deaths by October 1, according to the University of Washington Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation.

But analysts say coronavirus rates haven’t even dropped low enough to trigger the first wave.

As the virus spreads, it seems to follow freeways as more and more people exit and new places reopen, researchers at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and the University of Pennsylvania. They cited the spread from south to north along I-95 on the east coast, I-85 to the south and I-5 and I-10 to the west, the team said.

Meanwhile, New York and New Jersey no longer have the highest per capita infection rate. It would be the Navajo Nation, which spans parts of New Mexico, Utah and Arizona and has approximately 173,600 residents.

The Navajo Nation has announced closings over the next two weekends in an attempt to stem the epidemic. The first is scheduled from Friday to Monday, and the next will take place the following weekend.

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