Concerts and festivals will not continue in the UK until the following year, warns a first virologist.
Many major music, film and comedy opportunities, such as Glastonbury, Eurovision, Cannes and Edinburgh Fringe, have already been dropped, postponed or posted due to Covid-19 issues.
But others, with Reading and Leeds, and the BFI London Film Festival, remain in the newspaper.
Dr. Chris Smith thinks it is “too optimistic” to assume that such social gatherings will take place.
“We haven’t even gotten a vaccine yet in people,” the Cambridge University professor told the BBC.
“The government has cost the country billions to lower the rate of transmission, and we know that a very good catalyst for spreading and amplifying cases is to bring lots of people together again, and that’s exactly what happens at concerts, matches, and other types of parties.
“So I can’t see them saying,” You know what, we predict everyone wants a date “- it’s too fast. “
Several British promoters and sites hoping nevertheless to organize events in a certain way informed us that they were not able to expose their plans after the locking, but as they were ready to take the initiative of the federal government as how and afterwards proceed.
This weekend, Downing Street officers are expected to disclose their plans to restart the economic system in stages, after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced last week that the UK has passed the peak of the epidemic.
The saving grace of once we could see our favorite artists in motion once again is unlikely to be excessive on their agendas, but a spokesperson for the authorities told the BBC that she recognized that “These are incredibly difficult times for places of art and entertainment. “.
“We are supporting the sector with important financial measures announced by the government and we continue to work together to plan for the future,” she said.
“As soon as it is safe to do so, we will encourage everyone to visit and relive the fantastic cultural offerings of the United Kingdom. “
Dr. Smith, who also hosts the Naked Scientists podcast, is assured that we will finally come back to having fun with such collective experiences – because they “appeal to human nature” – but only after most of the individuals within of the country were both infected with the disease (collective immunity) or inoculated (vaccines or mixtures of drugs) indirectly.
In the “short term,” he says, “it just won’t happen.”
“I think this year is basically a write-off, if I’m honest with you,” he says.
Theater producer Sir Cameron Mackintosh said this week that West End and Broadway were unlikely to have the capacity to stage musicals before the start of the following year, and the Hay Literature Festival unveiled its very first digital program instead of a specific occasion.
But the boss of one of the UK’s biggest movie chains is optimistic that the company will reopen in mid-July, noting that it may “control the number of people entering” construction .
Vue Cinemas’ chief governor Tim Richards informed the BBC that he was nevertheless talking to authorities about social distancing measures. If all goes according to plan, the channel could very well be active again for the launch of the cinematographic film Tenet by director Christopher Nolan on July 17, he said.
The UK Cinema Association has reportedly asked the federal government to “allow theaters to open by the end of June”.
“Think with heads, not with portfolios”
Despite their sympathy for the dormant arts industries – many of whom fear that Dr. Smith will “never recover” from the “monumental impact” of the coronavirus – he points out that hobbyists must now assume “not with their wallets , but with their heads screwed “, to avoid” undoing all the great work that has been done “by the NHS.
He suggests that it might be possible to reopen certain art galleries and museums – the place where people can generally move freely – using social distancing measures and restrictions related to those seen in supermarkets.
However, acting, even intermittently in small concert venues, theaters and cinemas in selected cities, would unleash “carnage,” he predicted.
“How the hell could we ever have an enforceable system where you said,” You can go to a rock concert and watch Ed Sheeran, but you have to stand two yards apart? “Everyone just laughed,” he says.
“You have to think about the big picture, which is how most people in the place [at the same time]? If you suddenly have to start telling people, “You can’t all go to the bathroom together,” can you imagine the carnage? “
A campaign is underway to save more than 550 concert halls in the UK. Reopening, or picturing homes, at any time quickly with restrictions, says Dr. Smith, would trigger additional monetary problems, in addition to medical problems.
“In the short term, we’re going to have to rethink all of this, because it’s just not possible to say, ‘Let’s translate this into different numbers,’ he adds. “Because the economy does not work for artists and place holders, because these places work at the capacity for which they were built.
“Who would spend a fortune buying the rights to indicate a movie from his cinema if he did not know that his cinema was going to be opened the following week and that he was really going to reimburse him? “
US bioethicist Dr Zeke Emanuel of the University of Pennsylvania, who hosts the podcast Coronavirus Making the Call, agrees that people should wait longer than they thought before attending big occasions once again.
“Larger gatherings – conferences, concerts, sporting events – when people say they are going to postpone this conference or graduation event for October 2020, I don’t know how they think it’s a plausible possibility”, he told the New York Times last month. .
“I think these things will be the last to come back. In reality, we are talking about the fall of 2021 at the earliest. “
These sobering feelings were once again echoed by the former Creation record and the current Creation 23 supremo Alan McGee on Boogaloo Radio, who mentioned that the federal government “will never allow 200 people to bring together [this year]. “
“Furthermore, no one will want to attend a show at the moment,” he continued.
Elsewhere, Isle of Wight festival boss John Giddings told NME that the cancellation of the summer season was “tragic but not obvious” and that he had little hope for them. concerts and festivals later in the year.
“Can artists, teams and clients even travel? He questioned.
What do different international sites do?
In answering these questions, the UK can no less than take courses from different nations, including a few weeks / months later on their coronavirus calendar.
For the occasion, Thursday, in the week in which Germany reopened certain museums, galleries and gardens with strict guidelines for social distancing (as well as the use of face masks and, in some cases, poles), France announced a bailout for culture workers who will even see related steps from the following week.
Neither nation has decreed that theaters, cinemas or theaters are protected areas but, and President Emmanuel Macron has indicated that there can be no Gallic gatherings of more than 5,000 people before September .
Spain – the place where the Primavera Sound Festival remains on the horizon – plans to reorganize “cultural events” later this month, with venues at a third of their capacity.
In the United States, the mayors of New York and Los Angeles each mentioned that concerts and festivals were “hard to imagine” until 2021. Missouri governor Mike Parson nevertheless gave inexperienced sweetness that the concerts start again on Monday. And an Arkansas venue will seat spectators in six-toe side “fan pods” the following week.
Oscar-winning director Spike Lee criticized the governor’s plan to quarantine and reopen movie theaters. When China partially did so, after the lifting of the lock restrictions, it quickly had to close them again, for the reason that it was believed to be linked to the coronavirus.
Business is apparently booming in the meantime in the few remaining chauffeured cinemas in the United States, and Denmark has introduced chauffeured concerts as a workaround.
Finally, in Sweden, a controversial location in Malmö continued to place on socially distant revelations, limited to an audience of 40 people, throughout the pandemic.
Once the borders finally start to open gradually and the tests become more accessible to the British public, Dr Smith believes it may become essential to show immunity in order to travel via airports around the world.
But he says it might be a “terrible idea” to start by simply allowing those who have immunity back into the place, as it could threaten to “coerce” people into intentionally catching the disease (like this has traditionally occurred with different viruses such as chickenpox). The idea being that they would take the chance to be able to become immune and then be able to go out and have problems.
The practitioner said that it could even be “impossible to control” at the scene. And, in fact, it is still not certain that you will become immune after contracting Covid-19.
While the situation is terribly complicated, it is not entirely disastrous for leisure enthusiasts. “New standard” for consuming stuff online, says Smith, will bring such great technological advancements, due to demand, that it “will make people more comfortable staying overnight” in the meantime .
(The owner of Odeon Cinemas was not too keen on the concept, banning all Universal movies after the studio said it was going to launch new movies at home and on the big screen the same day).
Stufish, who designed phases for U2, The Rolling Stones and Beyonce, for example, wants to know how digital news could very well be used to adapt revelations sooner or later to a socially distant audience.
“Maybe some shows are better for that,” says Dr. Smith, “because you won’t pay millions of pounds to Wembley to use their site and people can sign up so you can see you.
“I am very grateful that we had a skill on the stage that we had before this happened, because I think it was our savior. “