The number of new COVID-19 cases is expected to reach zero by mid-June if we stay home: B.C. officials


As other provinces begin to reopen their economies, British Columbia health officials say we have “flattened the curve” of new COVID-19 cases, but people still need to keep a life away from the normal.

Authorities released their latest modeling data on the coronavirus pandemic on Monday as political leaders determine how to reopen various businesses, schools and the health system while preventing a sudden surge in cases.

The daily number of new cases in British Columbia will reach zero by mid-June if social interactions remain about 35 to 40 percent of normal, said Dr. Bonnie Henry, provincial health worker.

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Cases would remain fairly weak with an increase in face-to-face interactions to 60% of normal, as more retailers reopen their storefronts and operate in the same manner as grocery stores.

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However, the numbers keep increasing if we go back to 80% of normal social interaction or more.

The physical distance allowed B.C. to “apply the brakes” to the COVID-19, said Henry, but we couldn’t stop the car.

“We have to find the right balance to try to protect those most likely to end up in hospital or die from the disease,” she said as she published the number of new illnesses since Saturday.

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“We have to strengthen our social fabric. It is important to have social contacts, “she added. “We have to do it now in a controlled, safe way. “

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The key principle is to continue to practice good hygiene and follow public health guidelines, she said, especially as more and more people start to return to work.

The latest figures indicate that most of the people who tested positive were between 30 and 60 years of age and most were women. Hospitalized patients, on the other hand, are overwhelmingly older and male.

As of April 28, health workers represented approximately 21% of the total number of cases in British Columbia. One worker died in connection with COVID-19.

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Henry said the goal now is to learn to live with the virus.

“We don’t know if we’re going to see a resurgence in the fall. This is something that we have to prepare, plan and monitor from now on, “she said.

“It is in our hands, as long as we remember to wash them. “

The province is expected to present its plans to begin gradually lifting the restrictions on Wednesday.

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